NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MICH MD
Points 85.5 59.6
Total Points   145.1
Points From 2-Pointers 39.5 22.4
Points From 3-Pointers 27.1 26.1
Points From Free Throws 18.9 11.1
Shooting MICH MD
Field Goals Made 28.8 19.9
Field Goals Attempted 55.4 62.1
Field Goal % 51.9% 32.1%
2 Pointers Made 19.7 11.2
2 Pointers Attempted 31.9 31.0
2 Point Shooting % 61.8% 36.2%
3 Pointers Made 9.0 8.7
3 Pointers Attempted 23.5 31.1
3 Point Shooting % 38.5% 27.9%
Free Throws Made 18.9 11.1
Free Throws Attempted 24.5 15.8
Free Throw % 77.1% 70.0%
Ball Control MICH MD
Rebounds 41.1 32.8
Rebounds - Defensive 32.3 20.9
Rebounds - Offensive 8.8 11.8
Turnovers 8.9 10.4
Blocked Shots 5.2 3.1
Steals 5.1 4.2
Fouls 12.3 18.0

Playing Style Advantage: Maryland

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MICH MD
Total Possessions 70.1
Effective Scoring Chances 70.1 71.5
% of Possessions with MICH MD
2 Point Attempt 39.8% 36.9%
3 Point Attempt 29.3% 37.0%
Player Fouled 25.6% 17.6%
Turnover 12.7% 14.8%
Opponent Steal 6.0% 7.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken MICH MD
Shot Blocked 5.1% 9.5%
Offensive Rebound 29.7% 26.8%