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Maryland at Penn St
Sat Mar 1, 2025
12:00pm ET
University Park, PA
Maryland at Penn St: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Maryland by 4.5, Total Points: 155.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | MD | adv | PSU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 18-17-1 | 16-15-0 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 11-10-1 | 11-9-0 | |
| Streak | L2 | W5 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 5-0-0 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5-0 | 5-5-0 | |
| Home | 11-7-1 | 8-9-0 | |
| Away | 7-10-0 | 8-6-0 |
Maryland Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/04 | Home | Manhattan | -26.0 | W by 30 | +4.0 |
| 11/08 | Home | Mt St Mary's | -24.0 | W by 34 | +10.0 |
| 11/11 | Home | Florida A&M | -31.5 | W by 31 | -0.5 |
| 11/15 | Home | Marquette | -2.5 | L by 4 | -6.5 |
| 11/19 | Home | Canisius | -31.0 | W by 71 | +40.0 |
| 11/24 | Neutral | Villanova | -6.0 | W by 1 | -5.0 |
| 11/27 | Home | Bucknell | -24.5 | W by 24 | -0.5 |
| 12/01 | Home | Alcorn St | -34.5 | W by 38 | +3.5 |
| 12/04 | Home | Ohio St | -5.5 | W by 24 | +18.5 |
| 12/08 | Away | Purdue | +4.5 | L by 5 | -0.5 |
| 12/17 | Home | St Francis PA | -33.5 | W by 54 | +20.5 |
| 12/21 | Neutral | Syracuse | -14.0 | W by 27 | +13.0 |
| 12/28 | Home | Maryland ES | -42.5 | W by 15 | -27.5 |
| 01/02 | Away | Washington | -6.0 | L by 6 | -12.0 |
| 01/05 | Away | Oregon | +4.5 | L by 4 | +0.5 |
| 01/10 | Home | UCLA | -5.0 | W by 18 | +13.0 |
| 01/13 | Home | Minnesota | -15.5 | W by 6 | -9.5 |
| 01/16 | Away | Northwestern | -2.0 | L by 2 | -4.0 |
| 01/19 | Home | Nebraska | -9.5 | W by 3 | -6.5 |
| 01/23 | Away | Illinois | +6.5 | W by 21 | +27.5 |
| 01/26 | Away | Indiana | -2.5 | W by 1 | -1.5 |
| 01/29 | Home | Wisconsin | -5.5 | W by 8 | +2.5 |
| 02/06 | Away | Ohio St | +1.5 | L by 3 | -1.5 |
| 02/09 | Home | Rutgers | -9.0 | W by 9 | 0.0 |
| 02/13 | Away | Nebraska | +1.0 | W by 8 | +9.0 |
| 02/16 | Home | Iowa | -11.0 | W by 26 | +15.0 |
| 02/20 | Home | USC | -11.5 | W by 17 | +5.5 |
| 02/26 | Home | Michigan St | -4.5 | L by 3 | -7.5 |
| 03/01 | Away | Penn St | -4.5 | W by 4 | -0.5 |
| 03/05 | Away | Michigan | +1.0 | W by 6 | +7.0 |
| 03/08 | Home | Northwestern | -11.0 | W by 13 | +2.0 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Illinois | -1.5 | W by 23 | +21.5 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | Michigan | -4.5 | L by 1 | -5.5 |
| 03/21 | Neutral | Grand Canyon | -10.5 | W by 32 | +21.5 |
| 03/23 | Neutral | Colorado St | -8.0 | W by 1 | -7.0 |
| 03/27 | Neutral | Florida | +7.0 | L by 16 | -9.0 |
Penn St Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/04 | Home | Binghamton | -20.5 | W by 42 | +21.5 |
| 11/08 | Home | UMBC | -22.5 | W by 49 | +26.5 |
| 11/12 | Home | St Francis PA | -31.0 | W by 30 | -1.0 |
| 11/15 | Neutral | Virginia Tech | -7.5 | W by 22 | +14.5 |
| 11/20 | Home | Purdue FW | -17.0 | W by 13 | -4.0 |
| 11/25 | Neutral | Fordham | -16.0 | W by 19 | +3.0 |
| 11/26 | Neutral | Clemson | +1.0 | L by 8 | -7.0 |
| 12/01 | Home | Buffalo | -28.5 | W by 23 | -5.5 |
| 12/05 | Home | Purdue | -2.0 | W by 11 | +9.0 |
| 12/10 | Away | Rutgers | +3.0 | L by 4 | -1.0 |
| 12/14 | Home | Coppin St | -37.0 | W by 48 | +11.0 |
| 12/21 | Away | Drexel | -13.5 | W by 11 | -2.5 |
| 12/29 | Home | Penn | -26.0 | W by 20 | -6.0 |
| 01/02 | Home | Northwestern | -4.5 | W by 4 | -0.5 |
| 01/05 | Home | Indiana | -7.5 | L by 6 | -13.5 |
| 01/08 | Away | Illinois | +7.5 | L by 39 | -31.5 |
| 01/12 | Home | Oregon | +2.5 | L by 1 | +1.5 |
| 01/15 | Away | Michigan St | +11.0 | L by 5 | +6.0 |
| 01/20 | Home | Rutgers | -7.0 | W by 8 | +1.0 |
| 01/24 | Away | Iowa | +4.0 | L by 1 | +3.0 |
| 01/27 | Away | Michigan | +8.5 | L by 4 | +4.5 |
| 01/30 | Home | Ohio St | -3.5 | L by 19 | -22.5 |
| 02/04 | Home | Minnesota | -6.5 | L by 8 | -14.5 |
| 02/08 | Away | UCLA | +10.5 | L by 24 | -13.5 |
| 02/11 | Away | USC | +4.5 | L by 25 | -20.5 |
| 02/15 | Home | Washington | -6.0 | L by 2 | -8.0 |
| 02/19 | Home | Nebraska | +1.5 | W by 17 | +18.5 |
| 02/22 | Away | Minnesota | +2.5 | W by 9 | +11.5 |
| 02/26 | Away | Indiana | +5.5 | L by 5 | +0.5 |
| 03/01 | Home | Maryland | +4.5 | L by 4 | +0.5 |
| 03/08 | Away | Wisconsin | +11.5 | W by 11 | +22.5 |
| MD -4.5 | Open | -4.5 | High | -5.5 |
| Last | -5.0 | Low | -4.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2019-2020 NCAA Basketball season there have been 2088 games where the closing line favored the away team by 3.5 to 5.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Maryland won the game 1310 times (62.7%).
- The team like Penn State won the game 778 times (37.3%).
- The team like Penn State did better against the spread, going 1061-989-38 (51.8% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.8 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2021-2022 NCAA Basketball season there have been 4385 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by the same as the opening line.
In these games, the team like Maryland did better against the spread, going 2157-2152-76 (50.1% ATS).
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| Open | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| History | |||
| 03/01 11:50 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/01 11:41 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/01 10:56 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/01 10:23 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/01 09:48 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/01 08:44 AM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/01 08:16 AM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/01 08:01 AM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/01 03:02 AM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/01 02:43 AM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/01 12:04 AM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/28 10:16 PM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/28 09:17 PM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/28 06:59 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
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