NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring TAM UGA
Points 80.8 76.1
Total Points   156.9
Points From 2-Pointers 41.6 32.2
Points From 3-Pointers 23.4 30.1
Points From Free Throws 15.8 13.8
Shooting TAM UGA
Field Goals Made 28.6 26.1
Field Goals Attempted 68.7 58.3
Field Goal % 41.7% 44.8%
2 Pointers Made 20.8 16.1
2 Pointers Attempted 43.1 29.0
2 Point Shooting % 48.4% 55.6%
3 Pointers Made 7.8 10.0
3 Pointers Attempted 25.7 29.4
3 Point Shooting % 30.4% 34.1%
Free Throws Made 15.8 13.8
Free Throws Attempted 22.1 19.3
Free Throw % 71.3% 71.6%
Ball Control TAM UGA
Rebounds 44.3 34.2
Rebounds - Defensive 27.4 26.5
Rebounds - Offensive 16.9 7.7
Turnovers 7.2 10.6
Blocked Shots 3.8 3.8
Steals 6.3 3.7
Fouls 15.7 14.4

Playing Style Advantage: Georgia

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats TAM UGA
Total Possessions 72.5
Effective Scoring Chances 82.2 69.6
% of Possessions with TAM UGA
2 Point Attempt 47.4% 35.4%
3 Point Attempt 28.2% 36.0%
Player Fouled 19.9% 21.6%
Turnover 9.9% 14.6%
Opponent Steal 5.2% 8.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken TAM UGA
Shot Blocked 6.7% 5.7%
Offensive Rebound 38.9% 21.9%