2023 Fantasy Football Projection Changes

Our running list of changes to our fantasy football projections as we head toward the 2023 NFL season.

How Our Official Fantasy Football Player Projections Were Created

The fantasy football player projections are out. Here is a summary of how we came up with these projections for the 2022 season.

Converting Average Draft Position Data into Projected Fantasy Points

Our rankings incorporate market data like a player's average draft position, but we had to convert that info into meaningful fantasy point projections to use it with our other models.

Fantasy Football Team Usage Trends

We looked at how teams have recently distributed touches, yards, and scores among their fantasy-relevant players as part of our projections.

Fantasy Football Player Similarity Scores

As part of our Fantasy Football projections, we developed player similarity scores based age, team qualities, and stats from the previous year.

How We Made Fantasy Football Team Projections

One of the first steps in making good fantasy football predictions is having good projections for what each team will do in 2021.

Best Ball Tournament Strategy Guide (For Underdog, DraftKings, Etc.)

Best Ball tournaments are popular thanks to huge prize pools on Underdog and DraftKings. Here are some strategy tips to win these contests.

2022 Fantasy Football Projection Changes

Our running list of changes to our fantasy football projections as we head toward the 2022 NFL season.

Pay Attention to Your League Scoring System and Rules

Your approach to drafting and setting your fantasy football roster should depend on the scoring system and rules. We look through some variations.

2021 Fantasy Football Projection Changes

Our running list of changes to our fantasy football projections as we head toward the 2021 NFL season.

ADP Values: 10 Underrated Players for Fantasy Football (2021)

Our underrated fantasy football players in 2021 include veterans in new roles, second-year WRs, and one team's entire passing-game corps.

Do Not Draft: 10 Overrated Players for Fantasy Football (2021)

We break down 10 players who look overrated in 2021 fantasy football drafts, including several players being drafted in the early rounds.

2021 FSGA Expert Draft Strategy and Results

We participated in an expert draft through the FSGA, and took a different approach at the running back position.

Fantasy Running Backs and Preseason Team Win Totals

We take a look at whether you should be adjusting your rankings based on team quality, as measured by Vegas win totals.

Veteran Running Backs Changing Teams Often Provide Poor Fantasy Value

History hasn't been kind to running backs seeking a fresh start elsewhere, and we take a look at how veteran backs have done in new situations, compared to average draft position.

Week 8 Fantasy Football Waiver Wire Pickups

Several running backs are out for Week 8, while some wide receivers who have returned from injury or illness also show up in our recommendations.

Week 7 Fantasy Football Waiver Wire Pickups

Several Philadelphia Eagles players might still be on the waiver wire to use in the Week 7 Thursday Night game.

Week 6 Fantasy Football Waiver Wire Pickups

This week's waiver wire includes some breakout WR performances, a running back who can star in a spot start, and Andy Dalton back as a starter.

Week 5 Fantasy Football Waiver Wire Pickups

Robert Tonyan looks like a breakout tight end, young receivers continue to emerge, and Nick Chubb is out, leaving an opportunity in Cleveland.

Week 4 Fantasy Football Waiver Wire Pickups

The Week 4 Waiver Wire features a Seattle running back injury, some rookie receivers who made big strides in Week 3, and Mo Alie-Cox.

Week 3 Fantasy Football Waiver Wire Pickups

Two big star running backs are out, leaving plenty of questions entering Week 3, as fantasy teams look to the waiver wire.

Week 2 Fantasy Football Waiver Wire Pickups

The fantasy football Week 2 waiver wire features potential pickups at RB like Malcolm Brown, who took on a bigger role in the Rams offense.

2020 Fantasy Football Projections and Rankings Updates (Sept. 5)

When we make big changes to our player projections, we will list them here with an explanation of why and what we changed.

Fantasy Football IQ #4: New York Giants WR Trio, 2021 First Round Targets, and Zero WR

This version of the Fantasy Football IQ features a look at the value available with the Giants WR group, who might be primed to break out.

Finding Values Using 2020 Fantasy Football Average Draft Position

Fantasy football ADP data is important for draft strategy. We compared our rankings to four major sources to find strong draft day values.

One Pick to Avoid in Each Round of a Fantasy Draft

"Bust" is a strong word to use, but these are picks we would be avoiding at their current cost in fantasy football drafts.

Two Value Picks for Each Round in a Fantasy Draft

Here are the picks we would target as great values in each round of a fantasy draft, depending on where in the round you are drafting.

3 Kicker Situations to Watch

You want to find kickers at the end of the draft, and if you can wait for some unsettled situations you may find some good opportunities.

4 Quarterback Sleepers to Target

Finding a good QB late in the draft can make your team dangerous. Here are some targets we like once you get past the Top 12 at the position.

5 Tight End Sleepers to Target

The tight end position has had some big breakouts in recent seasons, like George Kittle and Mark Andrews. Who could be next?

6 Hardest Teams to Project for Fantasy Football

Some teams are harder to project because of personnel changes or unique qualities. Here are some of the teams that will be more difficult to nail in 2020.

7 League-Winning Targets in Fantasy Football

Who are some of our targets at their current price, to help you build a winning fantasy team in 2020? Here are some of our favorites.

Fantasy Football IQ (#3): Tight End Targets, a Full NFL Fantasy Primer, and Auction Advice

Today's Fantasy Football IQ focuses on some keys to identifying TE targets, a comprehensive look at every team, and some auction strategy.

8 Running Back Sleepers to Target

Who are some of the running backs going outside the Top 30 that we like as sleepers in 2020? Ronald Jones in Tampa Bay is near the top.

9 Wide Receiver Sleepers to Target

Success in fantasy football often depends on getting production out of later round sleeper wide receivers. Here are some of our targets.

10 Backup Running Backs that Provide Big Upside

If you are looking for some backups that could breakout with the right opportunity in fantasy football, we have some recommendations.

Fantasy Football IQ (#2): Winning Your League in the First Round, T.Y. Hilton's Value, and Game Theory

In this version of the Fantasy Football IQ, we look at articles on first round picks, T.Y. Hilton, Game Theory, and DraftKings Best Ball Strategy.

11 Depth Chart Battles to Watch for Fantasy Football

Some situations can provide fantasy value, if you can identify who will emerge from uncertain depth chart situations in 2020.

12 Old Fantasy Football Faces in New Places

Lots of big names have moved to new places this offseason. We run down some of the most impactful moves for fantasy football.

Fantasy Football IQ (#1): Zero RB Strategy, QB Bust Rates, Austin Ekeler's Value

Can you win by not drafting a RB early? Is Kyler Murray worth the price? Here's some of our favorite fantasy football analysis from around the web.

Ranking the Most Impactful Player Opt Outs for Fantasy Football

Following the opt out deadline, we analyzed and ranked the most impactful player opt outs on the 2020 fantasy football season.