How We Create Fantasy Football Player Projections

August 14, 2024 by Jason Lisk

The fantasy football player projections are out. Here is a summary of how we came up with these projections for the 2024 season.

How We Create Fantasy Football Team Projections

August 14, 2024 by Jason Lisk

One of the first steps in making good fantasy football predictions is having good projections for what each team will do in 2024.

Converting Average Draft Position to Projected Fantasy Points

August 14, 2024 by Jason Lisk

Our rankings incorporate market data like a player's average draft position, but we had to convert that info into meaningful fantasy point projections to use it with our other models.

Fantasy Football Team Usage Trends

August 14, 2024 by Jason Lisk

We looked at how teams have recently distributed touches, yards, and scores among their fantasy-relevant players as part of our projections.

Fantasy Football Player Similarity Scores

May 10, 2024 by Jason Lisk

As part of our Fantasy Football projections, we developed player similarity scores based age, team qualities, and stats from the previous year.

Pay Attention to Your League Scoring System and Rules

May 9, 2024 by Jason Lisk

Your approach to drafting and setting your fantasy football roster should depend on the scoring system and rules. We look through some variations.

Fantasy Running Backs and Preseason Team Win Totals

May 9, 2024 by Jason Lisk

We take a look at whether you should be adjusting your rankings based on team quality, as measured by Vegas win totals.

Veteran Running Backs Changing Teams Often Provide Poor Fantasy Value

May 9, 2024 by Jason Lisk

History hasn't been kind to running backs seeking a fresh start elsewhere, and we take a look at how veteran backs have done in new situations, compared to average draft position.

2023 Fantasy Football Projection Changes

July 17, 2023 by Jason Lisk

Our running list of changes to our fantasy football projections as we head toward the 2023 NFL season.

Best Ball Tournament Strategy Guide (For Underdog, DraftKings, Etc.)

August 18, 2022 by Jason Lisk

Best Ball tournaments are popular thanks to huge prize pools on Underdog and DraftKings. Here are some strategy tips to win these contests.

2022 Fantasy Football Projection Changes

August 18, 2022 by Jason Lisk

Our running list of changes to our fantasy football projections as we head toward the 2022 NFL season.

2021 Fantasy Football Projection Changes

August 27, 2021 by Jason Lisk

Our running list of changes to our fantasy football projections as we head toward the 2021 NFL season.

ADP Values: 10 Underrated Players for Fantasy Football (2021)

August 14, 2021 by Jason Lisk

Our underrated fantasy football players in 2021 include veterans in new roles, second-year WRs, and one team's entire passing-game corps.

Do Not Draft: 10 Overrated Players for Fantasy Football (2021)

August 14, 2021 by Jason Lisk

We break down 10 players who look overrated in 2021 fantasy football drafts, including several players being drafted in the early rounds.

2021 FSGA Expert Draft Strategy and Results

July 15, 2021 by Jason Lisk

We participated in an expert draft through the FSGA, and took a different approach at the running back position.

Week 8 Fantasy Football Waiver Wire Pickups

October 28, 2020 by Jason Lisk

Several running backs are out for Week 8, while some wide receivers who have returned from injury or illness also show up in our recommendations.

Week 7 Fantasy Football Waiver Wire Pickups

October 21, 2020 by Jason Lisk

Several Philadelphia Eagles players might still be on the waiver wire to use in the Week 7 Thursday Night game.

Week 6 Fantasy Football Waiver Wire Pickups

October 14, 2020 by Jason Lisk

This week's waiver wire includes some breakout WR performances, a running back who can star in a spot start, and Andy Dalton back as a starter.

Week 5 Fantasy Football Waiver Wire Pickups

October 6, 2020 by Jason Lisk

Robert Tonyan looks like a breakout tight end, young receivers continue to emerge, and Nick Chubb is out, leaving an opportunity in Cleveland.

Week 4 Fantasy Football Waiver Wire Pickups

September 30, 2020 by Jason Lisk

The Week 4 Waiver Wire features a Seattle running back injury, some rookie receivers who made big strides in Week 3, and Mo Alie-Cox.

Week 3 Fantasy Football Waiver Wire Pickups

September 23, 2020 by Jason Lisk

Two big star running backs are out, leaving plenty of questions entering Week 3, as fantasy teams look to the waiver wire.

Week 2 Fantasy Football Waiver Wire Pickups

September 16, 2020 by Jason Lisk

The fantasy football Week 2 waiver wire features potential pickups at RB like Malcolm Brown, who took on a bigger role in the Rams offense.

2020 Fantasy Football Projections and Rankings Updates (Sept. 5)

September 5, 2020 by Jason Lisk

When we make big changes to our player projections, we will list them here with an explanation of why and what we changed.

Fantasy Football IQ #4: New York Giants WR Trio, 2021 First Round Targets, and Zero WR

August 21, 2020 by Jason Lisk

This version of the Fantasy Football IQ features a look at the value available with the Giants WR group, who might be primed to break out.

Finding Values Using 2020 Fantasy Football Average Draft Position

August 21, 2020 by Seth Trachtman

Fantasy football ADP data is important for draft strategy. We compared our rankings to four major sources to find strong draft day values.

One Pick to Avoid in Each Round of a Fantasy Draft

August 20, 2020 by Jason Lisk

"Bust" is a strong word to use, but these are picks we would be avoiding at their current cost in fantasy football drafts.

Two Value Picks for Each Round in a Fantasy Draft

August 19, 2020 by Jason Lisk

Here are the picks we would target as great values in each round of a fantasy draft, depending on where in the round you are drafting.

3 Kicker Situations to Watch

August 18, 2020 by Jason Lisk

You want to find kickers at the end of the draft, and if you can wait for some unsettled situations you may find some good opportunities.

4 Quarterback Sleepers to Target

August 17, 2020 by Jason Lisk

Finding a good QB late in the draft can make your team dangerous. Here are some targets we like once you get past the Top 12 at the position.

5 Tight End Sleepers to Target

August 16, 2020 by Jason Lisk

The tight end position has had some big breakouts in recent seasons, like George Kittle and Mark Andrews. Who could be next?

6 Hardest Teams to Project for Fantasy Football

August 15, 2020 by Jason Lisk

Some teams are harder to project because of personnel changes or unique qualities. Here are some of the teams that will be more difficult to nail in 2020.

7 League-Winning Targets in Fantasy Football

August 14, 2020 by Jason Lisk

Who are some of our targets at their current price, to help you build a winning fantasy team in 2020? Here are some of our favorites.

Fantasy Football IQ (#3): Tight End Targets, a Full NFL Fantasy Primer, and Auction Advice

August 14, 2020 by Jason Lisk

Today's Fantasy Football IQ focuses on some keys to identifying TE targets, a comprehensive look at every team, and some auction strategy.

8 Running Back Sleepers to Target

August 13, 2020 by Jason Lisk

Who are some of the running backs going outside the Top 30 that we like as sleepers in 2020? Ronald Jones in Tampa Bay is near the top.

9 Wide Receiver Sleepers to Target

August 12, 2020 by Jason Lisk

Success in fantasy football often depends on getting production out of later round sleeper wide receivers. Here are some of our targets.

10 Backup Running Backs that Provide Big Upside

August 11, 2020 by Jason Lisk

If you are looking for some backups that could breakout with the right opportunity in fantasy football, we have some recommendations.

Fantasy Football IQ (#2): Winning Your League in the First Round, T.Y. Hilton's Value, and Game Theory

August 11, 2020 by Jason Lisk

In this version of the Fantasy Football IQ, we look at articles on first round picks, T.Y. Hilton, Game Theory, and DraftKings Best Ball Strategy.

11 Depth Chart Battles to Watch for Fantasy Football

August 10, 2020 by Jason Lisk

Some situations can provide fantasy value, if you can identify who will emerge from uncertain depth chart situations in 2020.

12 Old Fantasy Football Faces in New Places

August 9, 2020 by Jason Lisk

Lots of big names have moved to new places this offseason. We run down some of the most impactful moves for fantasy football.

Fantasy Football IQ (#1): Zero RB Strategy, QB Bust Rates, Austin Ekeler's Value

August 7, 2020 by Jason Lisk

Can you win by not drafting a RB early? Is Kyler Murray worth the price? Here's some of our favorite fantasy football analysis from around the web.

Ranking the Most Impactful Player Opt Outs for Fantasy Football

August 6, 2020 by Seth Trachtman

Following the opt out deadline, we analyzed and ranked the most impactful player opt outs on the 2020 fantasy football season.