NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NMSU JVST
Points 64.2 67.8
Total Points   132.0
Points From 2-Pointers 33.2 33.3
Points From 3-Pointers 18.4 16.2
Points From Free Throws 12.7 18.3
Shooting NMSU JVST
Field Goals Made 22.7 22.1
Field Goals Attempted 54.2 53.2
Field Goal % 42.0% 41.4%
2 Pointers Made 16.6 16.7
2 Pointers Attempted 35.5 35.9
2 Point Shooting % 46.7% 46.4%
3 Pointers Made 6.1 5.4
3 Pointers Attempted 18.6 17.3
3 Point Shooting % 32.9% 31.2%
Free Throws Made 12.7 18.3
Free Throws Attempted 19.3 26.6
Free Throw % 65.5% 68.8%
Ball Control NMSU JVST
Rebounds 32.1 39.1
Rebounds - Defensive 24.2 27.3
Rebounds - Offensive 7.9 11.8
Turnovers 10.2 10.0
Blocked Shots 2.5 3.0
Steals 5.2 6.3
Fouls 17.8 14.8

Playing Style Advantage: Jksnville St

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NMSU JVST
Total Possessions 68.1
Effective Scoring Chances 65.8 69.9
% of Possessions with NMSU JVST
2 Point Attempt 46.1% 44.4%
3 Point Attempt 24.1% 21.4%
Player Fouled 21.7% 26.1%
Turnover 14.9% 14.7%
Opponent Steal 9.2% 7.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken NMSU JVST
Shot Blocked 5.7% 4.7%
Offensive Rebound 22.4% 32.8%