NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring GRC LIB
Points 75.6 65.0
Total Points   140.6
Points From 2-Pointers 39.9 29.2
Points From 3-Pointers 18.1 25.7
Points From Free Throws 17.6 10.1
Shooting GRC LIB
Field Goals Made 26.0 23.2
Field Goals Attempted 54.0 57.4
Field Goal % 48.1% 40.3%
2 Pointers Made 20.0 14.6
2 Pointers Attempted 35.3 32.7
2 Point Shooting % 56.5% 44.7%
3 Pointers Made 6.0 8.6
3 Pointers Attempted 18.7 24.8
3 Point Shooting % 32.3% 34.6%
Free Throws Made 17.6 10.1
Free Throws Attempted 23.2 15.6
Free Throw % 76.0% 64.5%
Ball Control GRC LIB
Rebounds 38.2 29.9
Rebounds - Defensive 29.3 22.4
Rebounds - Offensive 8.8 7.5
Turnovers 10.2 11.2
Blocked Shots 5.5 2.0
Steals 6.4 4.2
Fouls 15.2 16.9

Playing Style Advantage: Liberty

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats GRC LIB
Total Possessions 69.8
Effective Scoring Chances 68.4 66.1
% of Possessions with GRC LIB
2 Point Attempt 44.5% 41.1%
3 Point Attempt 23.5% 31.2%
Player Fouled 24.2% 21.8%
Turnover 14.6% 16.0%
Opponent Steal 6.0% 9.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken GRC LIB
Shot Blocked 3.6% 10.3%
Offensive Rebound 28.3% 20.3%