NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring WIS IND
Points 74.2 71.2
Total Points   145.4
Points From 2-Pointers 34.2 43.4
Points From 3-Pointers 24.8 14.9
Points From Free Throws 15.2 12.8
Shooting WIS IND
Field Goals Made 25.4 26.7
Field Goals Attempted 59.8 52.0
Field Goal % 42.4% 51.4%
2 Pointers Made 17.1 21.7
2 Pointers Attempted 35.8 37.8
2 Point Shooting % 47.8% 57.4%
3 Pointers Made 8.3 5.0
3 Pointers Attempted 24.0 14.1
3 Point Shooting % 34.4% 35.3%
Free Throws Made 15.2 12.8
Free Throws Attempted 20.2 19.5
Free Throw % 75.1% 65.9%
Ball Control WIS IND
Rebounds 33.7 32.6
Rebounds - Defensive 23.3 26.5
Rebounds - Offensive 10.4 6.0
Turnovers 7.9 11.2
Blocked Shots 1.7 3.8
Steals 7.2 3.7
Fouls 16.3 16.0

Playing Style Advantage: Wisconsin

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WIS IND
Total Possessions 69.2
Effective Scoring Chances 71.7 64.0
% of Possessions with WIS IND
2 Point Attempt 44.1% 49.9%
3 Point Attempt 29.6% 18.6%
Player Fouled 23.1% 23.5%
Turnover 11.4% 16.3%
Opponent Steal 5.4% 10.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken WIS IND
Shot Blocked 7.4% 2.9%
Offensive Rebound 28.2% 20.5%