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Valparaiso at VA Tech
Sat Dec 9, 2023
12:00pm ET
Blacksburg, VA
Valparaiso at VA Tech: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Virginia Tech by 21.5, Total Points: 145.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | VALP | adv | VT |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 18-13-0 | 15-19-0 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 12-9-0 | 8-13-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 4-6-0 | 4-6-0 | |
| Home | 6-10-0 | 11-6-0 | |
| Away | 12-3-0 | 4-13-0 |
Valparaiso Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Trinity Christian | -- | W by 39 | -- |
| 11/10 | Home | IUPUI | -3.5 | L by 10 | -13.5 |
| 11/14 | Home | WI-Grn Bay | -3.5 | W by 5 | +1.5 |
| 11/17 | Away | Illinois | +29.5 | L by 23 | +6.5 |
| 11/21 | Home | W Illinois | -2.5 | W by 7 | +4.5 |
| 11/25 | Home | Southern | -3.0 | W by 12 | +9.0 |
| 11/29 | Home | Drake | +14.0 | L by 18 | -4.0 |
| 12/02 | Away | Belmont | +15.5 | L by 9 | +6.5 |
| 12/06 | Away | Central Mich | +3.5 | L by 4 | -0.5 |
| 12/09 | Away | VA Tech | +21.5 | L by 21 | +0.5 |
| 12/16 | Home | Chicago St | -3.0 | L by 1 | -4.0 |
| 12/19 | Home | Samford | +8.5 | L by 18 | -9.5 |
| 12/29 | Away | Elon | +5.0 | L by 4 | +1.0 |
| 01/03 | Home | Bradley | +10.5 | L by 25 | -14.5 |
| 01/06 | Away | IL-Chicago | +12.5 | L by 6 | +6.5 |
| 01/10 | Home | S Illinois | +9.5 | L by 9 | +0.5 |
| 01/14 | Away | Illinois St | +10.0 | W by 9 | +19.0 |
| 01/17 | Away | Evansville | +7.0 | L by 3 | +4.0 |
| 01/20 | Home | IL-Chicago | +3.5 | W by 7 | +10.5 |
| 01/24 | Away | S Illinois | +13.5 | L by 6 | +7.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | Missouri St | +4.0 | L by 11 | -7.0 |
| 01/31 | Away | Drake | +19.5 | L by 11 | +8.5 |
| 02/03 | Home | Evansville | -1.5 | L by 1 | -2.5 |
| 02/07 | Away | Indiana St | +20.5 | L by 40 | -19.5 |
| 02/10 | Home | Belmont | +6.5 | L by 18 | -11.5 |
| 02/14 | Home | N Iowa | +7.5 | L by 19 | -11.5 |
| 02/17 | Away | Missouri St | +13.0 | L by 8 | +5.0 |
| 02/21 | Home | Indiana St | +14.0 | L by 19 | -5.0 |
| 02/24 | Away | Murray St | +13.0 | L by 12 | +1.0 |
| 02/27 | Away | N Iowa | +16.0 | L by 14 | +2.0 |
| 03/03 | Home | Illinois St | +5.5 | W by 3 | +8.5 |
| 03/07 | Neutral | Belmont | +14.0 | L by 25 | -11.0 |
VA Tech Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Coppin St | -28.0 | W by 45 | +17.0 |
| 11/10 | Neutral | S Carolina | -6.0 | L by 2 | -8.0 |
| 11/15 | Home | Campbell | -21.5 | W by 16 | -5.5 |
| 11/19 | Home | Wofford | -18.0 | W by 22 | +4.0 |
| 11/23 | Neutral | Boise St | -2.0 | W by 7 | +5.0 |
| 11/24 | Neutral | Iowa St | +5.5 | W by 9 | +14.5 |
| 11/26 | Neutral | Fla Atlantic | +2.5 | L by 34 | -31.5 |
| 11/29 | Away | Auburn | +9.0 | L by 17 | -8.0 |
| 12/03 | Home | Louisville | -14.0 | W by 7 | -7.0 |
| 12/09 | Home | Valparaiso | -21.5 | W by 21 | -0.5 |
| 12/16 | Home | Vermont | -10.5 | W by 22 | +11.5 |
| 12/21 | Home | American | -17.0 | W by 22 | +5.0 |
| 12/30 | Away | Wake Forest | +4.5 | L by 23 | -18.5 |
| 01/06 | Away | Florida St | -1.0 | L by 3 | -4.0 |
| 01/10 | Home | Clemson | +2.0 | W by 15 | +17.0 |
| 01/13 | Home | Miami | -2.0 | L by 4 | -6.0 |
| 01/17 | Away | Virginia | +4.5 | L by 8 | -3.5 |
| 01/20 | Away | NC State | +4.5 | W by 6 | +10.5 |
| 01/23 | Home | Boston Col | -4.5 | W by 5 | +0.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | GA Tech | -9.5 | W by 24 | +14.5 |
| 01/29 | Home | Duke | +3.5 | L by 10 | -6.5 |
| 02/03 | Away | Miami | +4.0 | L by 8 | -4.0 |
| 02/10 | Away | Notre Dame | -5.5 | L by 8 | -13.5 |
| 02/13 | Home | Florida St | -5.5 | W by 8 | +2.5 |
| 02/17 | Away | N Carolina | +11.0 | L by 15 | -4.0 |
| 02/19 | Home | Virginia | -3.5 | W by 34 | +30.5 |
| 02/24 | Away | Pittsburgh | +3.0 | L by 15 | -12.0 |
| 02/27 | Away | Syracuse | +1.0 | L by 13 | -12.0 |
| 03/02 | Home | Wake Forest | -1.5 | W by 11 | +9.5 |
| 03/05 | Away | Louisville | -7.5 | W by 16 | +8.5 |
| 03/09 | Home | Notre Dame | -10.5 | W by 6 | -4.5 |
| 03/13 | Neutral | Florida St | -4.5 | L by 10 | -14.5 |
| 03/19 | Home | Richmond | -6.0 | W by 16 | +10.0 |
| 03/23 | Away | Ohio St | +6.0 | L by 8 | -2.0 |
| VT -21.5 | Open | -20.5 | High | -22.0 |
| Last | -22.0 | Low | -20.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2018-2019 NCAA Basketball season there have been 468 games where the closing line favored the home team by 20.5 to 22.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Virginia Tech won the game 457 times (97.6%).
- The team like Valparaiso won the game 11 times (2.4%).
- The team like Valparaiso did better against the spread, going 242-219-7 (52.5% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.1 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2020-2021 NCAA Basketball season there have been 3118 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 1 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Valparaiso did better against the spread, going 1546-1514-58 (50.5% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.4 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -21.5 | -21.5 | -- |
| Open | -21.0 | -20.5 | -- |
| History | |||
| 12/09 12:00 PM | -21.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/09 11:26 AM | -22.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/09 11:02 AM | -21.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/09 09:50 AM | -21.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/09 09:20 AM | -21.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/09 09:07 AM | -- | -21.5 | -- |
| 12/09 08:38 AM | -21.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/09 08:05 AM | -20.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/08 09:53 PM | -20.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/08 05:57 PM | -- | -20.5 | -- |
| 12/08 05:44 PM | -21.0 | -- | -- |
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