NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring VALP VT
Points 64.3 81.1
Total Points   145.4
Points From 2-Pointers 35.3 42.8
Points From 3-Pointers 19.6 23.4
Points From Free Throws 9.4 14.9
Shooting VALP VT
Field Goals Made 24.2 29.2
Field Goals Attempted 58.9 56.4
Field Goal % 41.1% 51.7%
2 Pointers Made 17.7 21.4
2 Pointers Attempted 38.6 36.0
2 Point Shooting % 45.7% 59.4%
3 Pointers Made 6.5 7.8
3 Pointers Attempted 20.3 20.4
3 Point Shooting % 32.3% 38.2%
Free Throws Made 9.4 14.9
Free Throws Attempted 13.3 18.7
Free Throw % 70.2% 79.8%
Ball Control VALP VT
Rebounds 29.7 36.4
Rebounds - Defensive 21.4 28.6
Rebounds - Offensive 8.3 7.8
Turnovers 10.3 9.5
Blocked Shots 2.7 1.9
Steals 5.1 5.2
Fouls 15.3 12.4

Playing Style Advantage: VA Tech

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats VALP VT
Total Possessions 69.4
Effective Scoring Chances 67.4 67.7
% of Possessions with VALP VT
2 Point Attempt 49.2% 46.0%
3 Point Attempt 25.9% 26.1%
Player Fouled 17.9% 22.1%
Turnover 14.8% 13.7%
Opponent Steal 7.5% 7.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken VALP VT
Shot Blocked 3.4% 4.7%
Offensive Rebound 22.4% 26.7%