NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CIN HOW
Points 86.1 63.4
Total Points   149.5
Points From 2-Pointers 47.1 27.9
Points From 3-Pointers 24.1 20.5
Points From Free Throws 14.9 15.0
Shooting CIN HOW
Field Goals Made 31.6 20.8
Field Goals Attempted 61.2 55.9
Field Goal % 51.6% 37.2%
2 Pointers Made 23.5 13.9
2 Pointers Attempted 38.9 37.0
2 Point Shooting % 60.5% 37.7%
3 Pointers Made 8.0 6.8
3 Pointers Attempted 22.3 18.9
3 Point Shooting % 36.1% 36.3%
Free Throws Made 14.9 15.0
Free Throws Attempted 21.6 19.7
Free Throw % 68.9% 76.0%
Ball Control CIN HOW
Rebounds 40.7 29.8
Rebounds - Defensive 28.0 20.9
Rebounds - Offensive 12.7 8.9
Turnovers 9.1 13.2
Blocked Shots 6.7 2.0
Steals 6.7 4.7
Fouls 14.1 15.4

Playing Style Advantage: Howard

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CIN HOW
Total Possessions 71.4
Effective Scoring Chances 75.0 67.1
% of Possessions with CIN HOW
2 Point Attempt 45.8% 44.6%
3 Point Attempt 26.2% 22.7%
Player Fouled 21.6% 19.8%
Turnover 12.8% 18.5%
Opponent Steal 6.6% 9.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken CIN HOW
Shot Blocked 3.8% 11.0%
Offensive Rebound 37.9% 24.2%