NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring BING STONE
Points 75.8 67.1
Total Points   142.8
Points From 2-Pointers 40.4 31.5
Points From 3-Pointers 22.5 25.4
Points From Free Throws 12.9 10.3
Shooting BING STONE
Field Goals Made 27.7 24.2
Field Goals Attempted 57.6 59.0
Field Goal % 48.1% 41.0%
2 Pointers Made 20.2 15.7
2 Pointers Attempted 35.1 32.1
2 Point Shooting % 57.4% 49.0%
3 Pointers Made 7.5 8.5
3 Pointers Attempted 22.4 26.9
3 Point Shooting % 33.4% 31.4%
Free Throws Made 12.9 10.3
Free Throws Attempted 19.5 14.8
Free Throw % 66.4% 69.1%
Ball Control BING STONE
Rebounds 41.0 29.6
Rebounds - Defensive 31.0 23.6
Rebounds - Offensive 10.0 6.0
Turnovers 10.9 9.3
Blocked Shots 3.7 2.9
Steals 4.7 5.6
Fouls 13.7 14.9

Playing Style Advantage: Stonehill

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BING STONE
Total Possessions 70.6
Effective Scoring Chances 69.7 67.3
% of Possessions with BING STONE
2 Point Attempt 43.0% 41.1%
3 Point Attempt 27.4% 34.4%
Player Fouled 21.1% 19.3%
Turnover 15.5% 13.2%
Opponent Steal 8.0% 6.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken BING STONE
Shot Blocked 5.0% 6.5%
Offensive Rebound 29.9% 16.3%