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Cincinnati at Oklahoma
Tue Mar 5, 2024
8:00pm ET
Norman, OK
Cincinnati at Oklahoma: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Oklahoma by 4.5, Total Points: 138
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | CIN | adv | OKLA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 19-18-0 | 15-17-0 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 12-9-0 | 7-12-0 | |
| Streak | W2 | L3 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 1-4-0 | |
| Last 10 | 6-4-0 | 3-7-0 | |
| Home | 10-11-0 | 9-9-0 | |
| Away | 9-7-0 | 6-8-0 |
Cincinnati Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | IL-Chicago | -15.0 | W by 11 | -4.0 |
| 11/10 | Home | Detroit | -24.0 | W by 32 | +8.0 |
| 11/12 | Home | E Washingtn | -12.5 | W by 12 | -0.5 |
| 11/19 | Home | N Kentucky | -12.5 | W by 24 | +11.5 |
| 11/22 | Home | GA Tech | -10.0 | W by 35 | +25.0 |
| 11/28 | Away | Howard | -12.0 | W by 5 | -7.0 |
| 12/03 | Home | Fla Gulf Cst | -17.5 | W by 37 | +19.5 |
| 12/09 | Away | Xavier | +1.0 | L by 5 | -4.0 |
| 12/12 | Home | Bryant | -21.0 | W by 32 | +11.0 |
| 12/16 | Neutral | Dayton | -5.5 | L by 14 | -19.5 |
| 12/19 | Home | Merrimack | -20.0 | W by 16 | -4.0 |
| 12/22 | Home | Stetson | -21.0 | W by 8 | -13.0 |
| 12/29 | Home | Evansville | -18.5 | W by 18 | -0.5 |
| 01/06 | Away | BYU | +10.0 | W by 11 | +21.0 |
| 01/09 | Home | Texas | -5.0 | L by 1 | -6.0 |
| 01/13 | Away | Baylor | +6.5 | L by 3 | +3.5 |
| 01/16 | Home | TX Christian | -3.0 | W by 4 | +1.0 |
| 01/20 | Home | Oklahoma | -3.5 | L by 4 | -7.5 |
| 01/22 | Away | Kansas | +8.0 | L by 5 | +3.0 |
| 01/27 | Home | UCF | -7.5 | W by 11 | +3.5 |
| 01/31 | Away | W Virginia | -4.0 | L by 4 | -8.0 |
| 02/03 | Away | Texas Tech | +4.5 | W by 3 | +7.5 |
| 02/10 | Home | Houston | +5.5 | L by 5 | +0.5 |
| 02/13 | Home | Iowa St | -1.5 | L by 9 | -10.5 |
| 02/17 | Away | UCF | +1.0 | W by 2 | +3.0 |
| 02/21 | Home | Oklahoma St | -10.0 | L by 4 | -14.0 |
| 02/24 | Away | TX Christian | +5.5 | L by 18 | -12.5 |
| 02/27 | Away | Houston | +13.5 | L by 8 | +5.5 |
| 03/02 | Home | Kansas St | -6.0 | W by 2 | -4.0 |
| 03/05 | Away | Oklahoma | +4.5 | L by 3 | +1.5 |
| 03/09 | Home | W Virginia | -11.0 | W by 36 | +25.0 |
| 03/12 | Neutral | W Virginia | -9.5 | W by 5 | -4.5 |
| 03/13 | Neutral | Kansas | -3.0 | W by 20 | +17.0 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Baylor | +7.5 | L by 12 | -4.5 |
| 03/20 | Home | San Francisco | -7.5 | W by 1 | -6.5 |
| 03/23 | Home | Bradley | -6.5 | W by 17 | +10.5 |
| 03/26 | Away | Indiana St | +5.5 | L by 4 | +1.5 |
Oklahoma Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Central Mich | -21.5 | W by 30 | +8.5 |
| 11/10 | Home | Miss Val St | -36.0 | W by 39 | +3.0 |
| 11/14 | Home | Texas St | -16.0 | W by 39 | +23.0 |
| 11/17 | Home | TX-Pan Am | -27.0 | W by 24 | -3.0 |
| 11/23 | Neutral | Iowa | -1.5 | W by 12 | +10.5 |
| 11/24 | Neutral | USC | +2.5 | W by 2 | +4.5 |
| 11/30 | Home | Ark Pine Bl | -28.0 | W by 21 | -7.0 |
| 12/05 | Home | Providence | -5.0 | W by 21 | +16.0 |
| 12/09 | Neutral | Arkansas | -3.5 | W by 9 | +5.5 |
| 12/16 | Home | WI-Grn Bay | -24.5 | W by 34 | +9.5 |
| 12/20 | Neutral | N Carolina | +3.0 | L by 12 | -9.0 |
| 12/28 | Home | Central Ark | -31.5 | W by 16 | -15.5 |
| 12/31 | Home | Monmouth | -22.5 | W by 16 | -6.5 |
| 01/06 | Home | Iowa St | -2.0 | W by 8 | +6.0 |
| 01/10 | Away | TX Christian | +5.0 | L by 9 | -4.0 |
| 01/13 | Away | Kansas | +6.0 | L by 12 | -6.0 |
| 01/17 | Home | W Virginia | -12.5 | W by 14 | +1.5 |
| 01/20 | Away | Cincinnati | +3.5 | W by 4 | +7.5 |
| 01/23 | Home | Texas | -4.5 | L by 15 | -19.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | Texas Tech | -3.5 | L by 1 | -4.5 |
| 01/30 | Away | Kansas St | +3.0 | W by 20 | +23.0 |
| 02/03 | Away | UCF | -1.5 | L by 11 | -12.5 |
| 02/06 | Home | BYU | -2.5 | W by 16 | +13.5 |
| 02/10 | Home | Oklahoma St | -11.5 | W by 4 | -7.5 |
| 02/13 | Away | Baylor | +7.0 | L by 17 | -10.0 |
| 02/17 | Home | Kansas | +3.0 | L by 10 | -7.0 |
| 02/24 | Away | Oklahoma St | +1.5 | W by 2 | +3.5 |
| 02/28 | Away | Iowa St | +9.5 | L by 13 | -3.5 |
| 03/02 | Home | Houston | +6.5 | L by 2 | +4.5 |
| 03/05 | Home | Cincinnati | -4.5 | W by 3 | -1.5 |
| 03/09 | Away | Texas | +5.5 | L by 14 | -8.5 |
| 03/13 | Neutral | TX Christian | +3.5 | L by 7 | -3.5 |
| OKLA -4.5 | Open | -4.5 | High | -6.0 |
| Last | -5.0 | Low | -4.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2018-2019 NCAA Basketball season there have been 3871 games where the closing line favored the home team by 3.5 to 5.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Oklahoma won the game 2528 times (65.3%).
- The team like Cincinnati won the game 1343 times (34.7%).
- The team like Oklahoma did better against the spread, going 1915-1899-57 (50.2% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.3 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2020-2021 NCAA Basketball season there have been 4015 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by the same as the opening line.
In these games, the team like Oklahoma did better against the spread, going 1975-1966-74 (50.1% ATS).
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -5.0 | -4.5 | -- |
| Open | -4.5 | -4.5 | -- |
| History | |||
| 03/05 08:06 PM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 03/05 08:01 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/05 07:45 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/05 07:03 PM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/05 05:16 PM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/05 02:56 PM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/05 02:14 PM | -- | -5.5 | -- |
| 03/05 01:02 PM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/05 11:35 AM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/05 10:53 AM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/05 10:38 AM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/05 12:19 AM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/04 10:21 PM | -- | -5.5 | -- |
| 03/04 10:17 PM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/04 06:57 PM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 03/04 06:02 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/04 03:58 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
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