NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CIN OKLA
Points 72.6 69.0
Total Points   141.6
Points From 2-Pointers 41.5 33.8
Points From 3-Pointers 19.8 20.4
Points From Free Throws 11.4 14.7
Shooting CIN OKLA
Field Goals Made 27.3 23.7
Field Goals Attempted 61.7 56.6
Field Goal % 44.3% 41.9%
2 Pointers Made 20.7 16.9
2 Pointers Attempted 39.6 36.7
2 Point Shooting % 52.3% 46.1%
3 Pointers Made 6.6 6.8
3 Pointers Attempted 22.0 19.9
3 Point Shooting % 30.0% 34.2%
Free Throws Made 11.4 14.7
Free Throws Attempted 16.5 20.0
Free Throw % 68.9% 73.5%
Ball Control CIN OKLA
Rebounds 38.0 34.5
Rebounds - Defensive 26.6 25.8
Rebounds - Offensive 11.4 8.8
Turnovers 9.6 10.9
Blocked Shots 4.9 2.7
Steals 6.3 4.9
Fouls 14.6 13.1

Playing Style Advantage: Oklahoma

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CIN OKLA
Total Possessions 70.3
Effective Scoring Chances 72.1 68.2
% of Possessions with CIN OKLA
2 Point Attempt 47.9% 45.3%
3 Point Attempt 26.6% 24.5%
Player Fouled 18.6% 20.7%
Turnover 13.6% 15.5%
Opponent Steal 7.0% 9.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken CIN OKLA
Shot Blocked 4.8% 8.1%
Offensive Rebound 30.7% 24.8%