NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring BRWN ME
Points 68.9 63.4
Total Points   132.3
Points From 2-Pointers 36.7 36.3
Points From 3-Pointers 19.1 15.2
Points From Free Throws 13.1 11.9
Shooting BRWN ME
Field Goals Made 24.7 23.2
Field Goals Attempted 56.3 56.2
Field Goal % 43.9% 41.3%
2 Pointers Made 18.3 18.1
2 Pointers Attempted 36.7 38.3
2 Point Shooting % 50.0% 47.4%
3 Pointers Made 6.4 5.1
3 Pointers Attempted 19.6 17.9
3 Point Shooting % 32.4% 28.4%
Free Throws Made 13.1 11.9
Free Throws Attempted 20.2 16.7
Free Throw % 65.0% 71.4%
Ball Control BRWN ME
Rebounds 40.3 30.6
Rebounds - Defensive 28.2 23.5
Rebounds - Offensive 12.1 7.1
Turnovers 12.4 10.9
Blocked Shots 3.9 3.3
Steals 5.7 7.6
Fouls 14.0 15.6

Playing Style Advantage: Maine

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BRWN ME
Total Possessions 69.7
Effective Scoring Chances 69.4 65.9
% of Possessions with BRWN ME
2 Point Attempt 44.1% 48.9%
3 Point Attempt 23.6% 22.9%
Player Fouled 22.4% 20.1%
Turnover 17.8% 15.6%
Opponent Steal 10.9% 8.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken BRWN ME
Shot Blocked 6.0% 7.1%
Offensive Rebound 34.0% 20.1%