NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MER FUR
Points 74.5 77.7
Total Points   152.1
Points From 2-Pointers 45.9 35.8
Points From 3-Pointers 17.9 25.9
Points From Free Throws 10.6 16.1
Shooting MER FUR
Field Goals Made 28.9 26.5
Field Goals Attempted 60.9 58.6
Field Goal % 47.5% 45.2%
2 Pointers Made 22.9 17.9
2 Pointers Attempted 44.2 32.4
2 Point Shooting % 51.9% 55.1%
3 Pointers Made 6.0 8.6
3 Pointers Attempted 16.7 26.2
3 Point Shooting % 35.9% 33.0%
Free Throws Made 10.6 16.1
Free Throws Attempted 15.6 22.1
Free Throw % 67.9% 72.6%
Ball Control MER FUR
Rebounds 33.9 36.1
Rebounds - Defensive 24.8 25.5
Rebounds - Offensive 9.2 10.6
Turnovers 9.8 9.8
Blocked Shots 3.8 2.5
Steals 5.8 5.9
Fouls 15.7 12.7

Playing Style Advantage: Furman

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MER FUR
Total Possessions 71.2
Effective Scoring Chances 70.6 71.9
% of Possessions with MER FUR
2 Point Attempt 54.3% 38.9%
3 Point Attempt 20.5% 31.4%
Player Fouled 17.8% 22.1%
Turnover 13.8% 13.8%
Opponent Steal 8.3% 8.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken MER FUR
Shot Blocked 4.3% 6.3%
Offensive Rebound 26.4% 29.9%