NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CARK EIU
Points 70.3 71.3
Total Points   141.6
Points From 2-Pointers 32.6 35.9
Points From 3-Pointers 23.3 21.8
Points From Free Throws 14.3 13.6
Shooting CARK EIU
Field Goals Made 24.1 25.2
Field Goals Attempted 54.0 61.9
Field Goal % 44.6% 40.8%
2 Pointers Made 16.3 17.9
2 Pointers Attempted 32.6 41.3
2 Point Shooting % 50.0% 43.4%
3 Pointers Made 7.8 7.3
3 Pointers Attempted 21.4 20.6
3 Point Shooting % 36.4% 35.4%
Free Throws Made 14.3 13.6
Free Throws Attempted 19.1 18.4
Free Throw % 75.3% 73.7%
Ball Control CARK EIU
Rebounds 36.7 34.7
Rebounds - Defensive 28.5 24.2
Rebounds - Offensive 8.2 10.5
Turnovers 13.2 8.7
Blocked Shots 3.9 2.9
Steals 5.2 8.4
Fouls 13.5 15.7

Playing Style Advantage: Central Ark

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CARK EIU
Total Possessions 70.9
Effective Scoring Chances 65.9 72.7
% of Possessions with CARK EIU
2 Point Attempt 40.6% 49.8%
3 Point Attempt 26.6% 24.8%
Player Fouled 22.1% 19.0%
Turnover 18.6% 12.2%
Opponent Steal 11.9% 7.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken CARK EIU
Shot Blocked 4.7% 7.3%
Offensive Rebound 25.3% 26.9%