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Missouri St at Illinois St
Wed Feb 28, 2024
8:00pm ET
Normal, IL
Missouri St at Illinois St: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Illinois St. by 4.5, Total Points: 136
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | MOSU | adv | ILST |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 17-15-1 | 14-17-0 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 10-12-0 | 10-11-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | L3 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 4-6-0 | 5-5-0 | |
| Home | 8-6-0 | 7-8-0 | |
| Away | 9-9-1 | 7-9-0 |
Missouri St Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Away | W Virginia | +4.0 | L by 8 | -4.0 |
| 11/13 | Home | Oral Roberts | -6.5 | W by 15 | +8.5 |
| 11/17 | Neutral | Fla Gulf Cst | +1.5 | W by 9 | +10.5 |
| 11/19 | Neutral | Kent St | +4.0 | W by 4 | +8.0 |
| 11/20 | Neutral | Abl Christian | -2.5 | W by 18 | +15.5 |
| 11/25 | Home | S Car State | -21.0 | W by 18 | -3.0 |
| 11/29 | Home | Evansville | -11.0 | W by 12 | +1.0 |
| 12/02 | Away | Drake | +7.5 | L by 17 | -9.5 |
| 12/05 | Away | Middle Tenn | -1.0 | L by 4 | -5.0 |
| 12/09 | Home | Sam Hous St | -7.0 | W by 9 | +2.0 |
| 12/16 | Away | Tulsa | +1.0 | L by 1 | 0.0 |
| 12/19 | Home | Lindenwood | -17.5 | W by 22 | +4.5 |
| 12/23 | Away | St Marys | +13.5 | W by 5 | +18.5 |
| 01/03 | Home | N Iowa | -1.5 | L by 2 | -3.5 |
| 01/06 | Away | Bradley | +4.5 | L by 26 | -21.5 |
| 01/10 | Home | Murray St | -5.0 | L by 24 | -29.0 |
| 01/13 | Away | Evansville | -4.0 | W by 10 | +6.0 |
| 01/16 | Away | Indiana St | +12.5 | L by 22 | -9.5 |
| 01/20 | Home | Illinois St | -6.5 | L by 9 | -15.5 |
| 01/24 | Home | Drake | +7.0 | W by 3 | +10.0 |
| 01/27 | Away | Valparaiso | -4.0 | W by 11 | +7.0 |
| 01/31 | Away | S Illinois | +4.5 | W by 1 | +5.5 |
| 02/03 | Home | Belmont | -6.0 | W by 7 | +1.0 |
| 02/07 | Away | N Iowa | +4.5 | L by 7 | -2.5 |
| 02/10 | Home | Indiana St | +7.5 | L by 2 | +5.5 |
| 02/14 | Away | Murray St | +3.5 | L by 10 | -6.5 |
| 02/17 | Home | Valparaiso | -13.0 | W by 8 | -5.0 |
| 02/21 | Home | Bradley | +3.0 | L by 24 | -21.0 |
| 02/24 | Away | Belmont | +7.5 | L by 15 | -7.5 |
| 02/28 | Away | Illinois St | +4.5 | L by 1 | +3.5 |
| 03/03 | Home | IL-Chicago | -5.5 | W by 10 | +4.5 |
| 03/07 | Neutral | Murray St | +2.5 | W by 25 | +27.5 |
| 03/08 | Neutral | Indiana St | +11.5 | L by 16 | -4.5 |
Illinois St Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Lourdes | -- | W by 19 | -- |
| 11/11 | Away | Saint Louis | +8.5 | L by 9 | -0.5 |
| 11/15 | Home | E Illinois | -13.0 | W by 8 | -5.0 |
| 11/20 | Neutral | Lg Beach St | +6.5 | W by 9 | +15.5 |
| 11/21 | Neutral | High Point | -1.5 | L by 2 | -3.5 |
| 11/22 | Neutral | Wright St | +2.5 | L by 25 | -22.5 |
| 11/30 | Away | IL-Chicago | +5.5 | W by 5 | +10.5 |
| 12/03 | Home | Murray St | -1.5 | W by 4 | +2.5 |
| 12/06 | Home | N Kentucky | -2.5 | W by 3 | +0.5 |
| 12/09 | Home | Norfolk St | -6.0 | L by 6 | -12.0 |
| 12/17 | Home | N Dakota St | -3.5 | W by 10 | +6.5 |
| 12/21 | Home | SE Missouri | -14.0 | W by 21 | +7.0 |
| 12/29 | Away | Kentucky | +20.0 | L by 26 | -6.0 |
| 01/02 | Away | Drake | +12.5 | L by 17 | -4.5 |
| 01/06 | Home | S Illinois | +2.0 | L by 7 | -5.0 |
| 01/10 | Away | Belmont | +6.5 | L by 7 | -0.5 |
| 01/14 | Home | Valparaiso | -10.0 | L by 9 | -19.0 |
| 01/17 | Home | Drake | +7.5 | L by 21 | -13.5 |
| 01/20 | Away | Missouri St | +6.5 | W by 9 | +15.5 |
| 01/23 | Home | Belmont | -1.5 | W by 10 | +8.5 |
| 01/27 | Away | Evansville | -2.0 | L by 4 | -6.0 |
| 01/30 | Away | Murray St | +7.0 | W by 2 | +9.0 |
| 02/03 | Home | Bradley | +6.5 | L by 13 | -6.5 |
| 02/07 | Home | IL-Chicago | -4.5 | L by 5 | -9.5 |
| 02/10 | Away | S Illinois | +8.0 | L by 3 | +5.0 |
| 02/13 | Away | Indiana St | +17.5 | W by 13 | +30.5 |
| 02/18 | Home | Evansville | -3.5 | W by 7 | +3.5 |
| 02/21 | Home | N Iowa | +1.5 | W by 8 | +9.5 |
| 02/24 | Away | Bradley | +12.5 | L by 3 | +9.5 |
| 02/28 | Home | Missouri St | -4.5 | W by 1 | -3.5 |
| 03/03 | Away | Valparaiso | -5.5 | L by 3 | -8.5 |
| 03/07 | Neutral | Evansville | -3.5 | L by 6 | -9.5 |
| ILST -4.5 | Open | -4.5 | High | -5.0 |
| Last | -4.0 | Low | -4.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2018-2019 NCAA Basketball season there have been 3824 games where the closing line favored the home team by 3.5 to 5.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Illinois St. won the game 2500 times (65.4%).
- The team like Missouri St. won the game 1324 times (34.6%).
- The team like Illinois St. did better against the spread, going 1893-1874-57 (50.3% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.3 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2020-2021 NCAA Basketball season there have been 3945 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by the same as the opening line.
In these games, the team like Illinois St. did better against the spread, going 1940-1932-73 (50.1% ATS).
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -4.0 | -4.5 | -- |
| Open | -4.5 | -3.5 | -- |
| History | |||
| 02/28 07:05 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/28 06:44 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/28 03:33 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/28 01:29 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/28 12:11 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/28 10:44 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/28 08:35 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/28 02:58 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/27 11:41 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/27 10:41 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/27 10:38 PM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 02/27 09:53 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/27 09:50 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 02/27 09:05 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/27 08:23 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/27 03:38 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
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