NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CARK SEMO
Points 71.6 69.6
Total Points   141.2
Points From 2-Pointers 37.2 35.4
Points From 3-Pointers 17.1 22.0
Points From Free Throws 17.3 12.2
Shooting CARK SEMO
Field Goals Made 24.3 25.0
Field Goals Attempted 55.4 61.7
Field Goal % 43.9% 40.5%
2 Pointers Made 18.6 17.7
2 Pointers Attempted 37.3 39.3
2 Point Shooting % 49.9% 45.0%
3 Pointers Made 5.7 7.3
3 Pointers Attempted 18.1 22.4
3 Point Shooting % 31.5% 32.7%
Free Throws Made 17.3 12.2
Free Throws Attempted 23.0 17.3
Free Throw % 75.3% 70.6%
Ball Control CARK SEMO
Rebounds 38.4 35.3
Rebounds - Defensive 29.0 25.0
Rebounds - Offensive 9.3 10.3
Turnovers 11.8 10.2
Blocked Shots 3.3 2.2
Steals 6.5 6.0
Fouls 14.5 17.1

Playing Style Advantage: SE Missouri

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CARK SEMO
Total Possessions 72.3
Effective Scoring Chances 69.8 72.4
% of Possessions with CARK SEMO
2 Point Attempt 45.1% 46.8%
3 Point Attempt 21.9% 26.7%
Player Fouled 23.6% 20.1%
Turnover 16.3% 14.1%
Opponent Steal 8.3% 9.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken CARK SEMO
Shot Blocked 3.7% 6.0%
Offensive Rebound 27.2% 26.2%