NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring COR LAF
Points 76.7 63.9
Total Points   140.7
Points From 2-Pointers 33.8 31.4
Points From 3-Pointers 29.5 22.7
Points From Free Throws 13.4 9.8
Shooting COR LAF
Field Goals Made 26.8 23.3
Field Goals Attempted 57.9 58.9
Field Goal % 46.2% 39.5%
2 Pointers Made 16.9 15.7
2 Pointers Attempted 29.6 34.0
2 Point Shooting % 57.1% 46.3%
3 Pointers Made 9.8 7.6
3 Pointers Attempted 28.3 24.9
3 Point Shooting % 34.8% 30.3%
Free Throws Made 13.4 9.8
Free Throws Attempted 18.1 14.4
Free Throw % 74.2% 68.2%
Ball Control COR LAF
Rebounds 37.9 33.6
Rebounds - Defensive 28.6 24.2
Rebounds - Offensive 9.3 9.4
Turnovers 10.5 11.4
Blocked Shots 2.8 3.7
Steals 6.9 6.0
Fouls 13.8 14.7

Playing Style Advantage: Cornell

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats COR LAF
Total Possessions 70.0
Effective Scoring Chances 68.8 68.0
% of Possessions with COR LAF
2 Point Attempt 36.7% 42.2%
3 Point Attempt 35.0% 31.0%
Player Fouled 20.9% 19.8%
Turnover 15.0% 16.2%
Opponent Steal 8.5% 9.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken COR LAF
Shot Blocked 6.4% 4.9%
Offensive Rebound 27.7% 24.7%