NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SLU URI
Points 82.5 79.5
Total Points   161.9
Points From 2-Pointers 39.9 39.0
Points From 3-Pointers 26.7 23.7
Points From Free Throws 15.9 16.8
Shooting SLU URI
Field Goals Made 28.8 27.4
Field Goals Attempted 58.7 55.8
Field Goal % 49.1% 49.1%
2 Pointers Made 19.9 19.5
2 Pointers Attempted 35.5 34.4
2 Point Shooting % 56.1% 56.6%
3 Pointers Made 8.9 7.9
3 Pointers Attempted 23.2 21.4
3 Point Shooting % 38.4% 37.0%
Free Throws Made 15.9 16.8
Free Throws Attempted 21.2 25.4
Free Throw % 75.1% 66.1%
Ball Control SLU URI
Rebounds 32.5 33.5
Rebounds - Defensive 24.1 24.3
Rebounds - Offensive 8.4 9.2
Turnovers 8.3 9.5
Blocked Shots 4.1 3.0
Steals 5.6 4.4
Fouls 17.2 16.0

Playing Style Advantage: Rhode Island

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SLU URI
Total Possessions 71.0
Effective Scoring Chances 71.2 70.7
% of Possessions with SLU URI
2 Point Attempt 44.0% 42.1%
3 Point Attempt 28.7% 26.2%
Player Fouled 22.5% 24.3%
Turnover 11.6% 13.3%
Opponent Steal 6.2% 7.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken SLU URI
Shot Blocked 5.5% 7.1%
Offensive Rebound 25.8% 27.6%