NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LIP UCF
Points 69.1 80.8
Total Points   149.8
Points From 2-Pointers 29.7 44.8
Points From 3-Pointers 26.0 23.4
Points From Free Throws 13.4 12.6
Shooting LIP UCF
Field Goals Made 23.5 30.2
Field Goals Attempted 56.3 63.1
Field Goal % 41.8% 47.8%
2 Pointers Made 14.9 22.4
2 Pointers Attempted 32.8 41.5
2 Point Shooting % 45.3% 54.0%
3 Pointers Made 8.7 7.8
3 Pointers Attempted 23.5 21.7
3 Point Shooting % 36.9% 36.0%
Free Throws Made 13.4 12.6
Free Throws Attempted 17.3 18.4
Free Throw % 77.5% 68.6%
Ball Control LIP UCF
Rebounds 29.0 41.3
Rebounds - Defensive 23.1 28.3
Rebounds - Offensive 5.9 13.1
Turnovers 12.0 9.7
Blocked Shots 2.6 6.4
Steals 5.0 6.9
Fouls 12.7 14.7

Playing Style Advantage: Lipscomb

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LIP UCF
Total Possessions 71.6
Effective Scoring Chances 65.4 74.9
% of Possessions with LIP UCF
2 Point Attempt 41.0% 48.4%
3 Point Attempt 29.3% 25.3%
Player Fouled 20.5% 17.7%
Turnover 16.8% 13.6%
Opponent Steal 9.6% 7.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken LIP UCF
Shot Blocked 10.3% 4.8%
Offensive Rebound 17.2% 36.2%