NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ARMY HARV
Points 58.3 66.3
Total Points   124.6
Points From 2-Pointers 26.9 30.0
Points From 3-Pointers 24.1 21.6
Points From Free Throws 7.4 14.6
Shooting ARMY HARV
Field Goals Made 21.4 22.2
Field Goals Attempted 57.7 52.1
Field Goal % 37.1% 42.7%
2 Pointers Made 13.4 15.0
2 Pointers Attempted 32.0 30.8
2 Point Shooting % 41.9% 48.8%
3 Pointers Made 8.0 7.2
3 Pointers Attempted 25.7 21.3
3 Point Shooting % 31.2% 33.8%
Free Throws Made 7.4 14.6
Free Throws Attempted 12.3 20.9
Free Throw % 60.0% 69.8%
Ball Control ARMY HARV
Rebounds 34.9 36.8
Rebounds - Defensive 24.9 28.6
Rebounds - Offensive 10.1 8.2
Turnovers 10.7 10.1
Blocked Shots 4.9 3.7
Steals 5.5 6.6
Fouls 15.7 11.6

Playing Style Advantage: Army

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ARMY HARV
Total Possessions 66.1
Effective Scoring Chances 65.4 64.2
% of Possessions with ARMY HARV
2 Point Attempt 41.2% 40.4%
3 Point Attempt 33.1% 28.0%
Player Fouled 17.6% 23.8%
Turnover 16.2% 15.3%
Opponent Steal 10.1% 8.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken ARMY HARV
Shot Blocked 7.3% 8.7%
Offensive Rebound 26.0% 24.8%