NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UAB TULN
Points 83.8 78.1
Total Points   161.9
Points From 2-Pointers 41.6 39.2
Points From 3-Pointers 22.3 21.4
Points From Free Throws 20.0 17.5
Shooting UAB TULN
Field Goals Made 28.2 26.7
Field Goals Attempted 62.3 57.9
Field Goal % 45.3% 46.2%
2 Pointers Made 20.8 19.6
2 Pointers Attempted 41.2 38.0
2 Point Shooting % 50.4% 51.5%
3 Pointers Made 7.4 7.1
3 Pointers Attempted 21.1 19.9
3 Point Shooting % 35.2% 35.9%
Free Throws Made 20.0 17.5
Free Throws Attempted 26.8 24.5
Free Throw % 74.3% 71.6%
Ball Control UAB TULN
Rebounds 41.8 30.7
Rebounds - Defensive 28.6 24.6
Rebounds - Offensive 13.1 6.1
Turnovers 10.1 10.1
Blocked Shots 5.1 4.2
Steals 5.9 6.6
Fouls 16.6 16.6

Playing Style Advantage: Tulane

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UAB TULN
Total Possessions 75.5
Effective Scoring Chances 78.5 71.5
% of Possessions with UAB TULN
2 Point Attempt 45.6% 45.5%
3 Point Attempt 23.3% 23.7%
Player Fouled 22.0% 22.0%
Turnover 13.4% 13.4%
Opponent Steal 8.8% 7.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken UAB TULN
Shot Blocked 7.4% 8.4%
Offensive Rebound 34.7% 17.6%