NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CCSU QUIN
Points 69.4 74.0
Total Points   143.4
Points From 2-Pointers 35.4 39.0
Points From 3-Pointers 20.8 22.8
Points From Free Throws 13.1 12.2
Shooting CCSU QUIN
Field Goals Made 24.6 27.1
Field Goals Attempted 57.6 62.8
Field Goal % 42.8% 43.2%
2 Pointers Made 17.7 19.5
2 Pointers Attempted 36.8 41.8
2 Point Shooting % 48.1% 46.6%
3 Pointers Made 6.9 7.6
3 Pointers Attempted 20.8 21.0
3 Point Shooting % 33.4% 36.3%
Free Throws Made 13.1 12.2
Free Throws Attempted 18.4 16.0
Free Throw % 71.4% 76.5%
Ball Control CCSU QUIN
Rebounds 33.8 39.2
Rebounds - Defensive 25.4 27.4
Rebounds - Offensive 8.3 11.8
Turnovers 10.6 10.3
Blocked Shots 4.9 3.4
Steals 6.4 6.7
Fouls 11.3 13.8

Playing Style Advantage: Central Conn

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CCSU QUIN
Total Possessions 70.9
Effective Scoring Chances 68.6 72.3
% of Possessions with CCSU QUIN
2 Point Attempt 45.7% 49.4%
3 Point Attempt 25.8% 24.8%
Player Fouled 19.5% 16.0%
Turnover 14.9% 14.6%
Opponent Steal 9.5% 9.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken CCSU QUIN
Shot Blocked 5.6% 8.6%
Offensive Rebound 23.2% 31.6%