NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DEL OHIO
Points 70.1 74.6
Total Points   144.6
Points From 2-Pointers 37.6 37.8
Points From 3-Pointers 18.8 24.1
Points From Free Throws 13.7 12.7
Shooting DEL OHIO
Field Goals Made 25.0 26.9
Field Goals Attempted 55.7 60.0
Field Goal % 44.9% 44.8%
2 Pointers Made 18.8 18.9
2 Pointers Attempted 36.7 35.7
2 Point Shooting % 51.2% 52.9%
3 Pointers Made 6.3 8.0
3 Pointers Attempted 19.1 24.3
3 Point Shooting % 32.9% 33.1%
Free Throws Made 13.7 12.7
Free Throws Attempted 19.5 17.2
Free Throw % 70.4% 74.1%
Ball Control DEL OHIO
Rebounds 36.1 32.9
Rebounds - Defensive 27.1 24.5
Rebounds - Offensive 9.1 8.4
Turnovers 11.5 7.9
Blocked Shots 2.8 4.5
Steals 4.1 6.5
Fouls 13.7 14.2

Playing Style Advantage: Delaware

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DEL OHIO
Total Possessions 69.7
Effective Scoring Chances 67.3 70.2
% of Possessions with DEL OHIO
2 Point Attempt 45.5% 45.1%
3 Point Attempt 23.6% 30.7%
Player Fouled 20.4% 19.7%
Turnover 16.5% 11.3%
Opponent Steal 9.3% 5.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken DEL OHIO
Shot Blocked 7.6% 5.2%
Offensive Rebound 27.0% 23.6%