NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DEL STON
Points 69.9 71.0
Total Points   140.9
Points From 2-Pointers 34.6 39.2
Points From 3-Pointers 22.8 20.0
Points From Free Throws 12.5 11.8
Shooting DEL STON
Field Goals Made 24.9 26.3
Field Goals Attempted 58.8 59.7
Field Goal % 42.3% 44.0%
2 Pointers Made 17.3 19.6
2 Pointers Attempted 35.6 39.7
2 Point Shooting % 48.6% 49.4%
3 Pointers Made 7.6 6.7
3 Pointers Attempted 23.3 20.0
3 Point Shooting % 32.7% 33.3%
Free Throws Made 12.5 11.8
Free Throws Attempted 17.8 16.2
Free Throw % 70.4% 72.8%
Ball Control DEL STON
Rebounds 36.3 36.2
Rebounds - Defensive 27.6 27.9
Rebounds - Offensive 8.7 8.3
Turnovers 9.0 8.3
Blocked Shots 2.0 3.5
Steals 4.8 5.6
Fouls 12.7 13.5

Playing Style Advantage: Stony Brook

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DEL STON
Total Possessions 69.6
Effective Scoring Chances 69.3 69.6
% of Possessions with DEL STON
2 Point Attempt 44.6% 50.4%
3 Point Attempt 29.2% 25.4%
Player Fouled 19.4% 18.3%
Turnover 13.0% 11.9%
Opponent Steal 8.1% 6.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken DEL STON
Shot Blocked 6.0% 3.4%
Offensive Rebound 23.9% 23.1%