NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring PRE SCUS
Points 71.4 71.1
Total Points   142.5
Points From 2-Pointers 37.5 36.6
Points From 3-Pointers 16.5 21.3
Points From Free Throws 17.3 13.2
Shooting PRE SCUS
Field Goals Made 24.3 25.4
Field Goals Attempted 52.4 53.5
Field Goal % 46.3% 47.4%
2 Pointers Made 18.8 18.3
2 Pointers Attempted 35.1 33.8
2 Point Shooting % 53.4% 54.1%
3 Pointers Made 5.5 7.1
3 Pointers Attempted 17.3 19.7
3 Point Shooting % 31.9% 35.9%
Free Throws Made 17.3 13.2
Free Throws Attempted 26.3 20.7
Free Throw % 66.0% 64.0%
Ball Control PRE SCUS
Rebounds 35.3 30.4
Rebounds - Defensive 25.6 23.6
Rebounds - Offensive 9.7 6.9
Turnovers 11.7 11.3
Blocked Shots 3.1 3.8
Steals 6.4 6.4
Fouls 16.6 18.1

Playing Style Advantage: SC Upstate

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PRE SCUS
Total Possessions 70.4
Effective Scoring Chances 68.4 66.0
% of Possessions with PRE SCUS
2 Point Attempt 43.0% 43.1%
3 Point Attempt 21.2% 25.1%
Player Fouled 25.8% 23.5%
Turnover 16.6% 16.1%
Opponent Steal 9.1% 9.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken PRE SCUS
Shot Blocked 7.3% 6.0%
Offensive Rebound 29.2% 21.2%