NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CREI NEB
Points 80.3 72.7
Total Points   153.0
Points From 2-Pointers 30.8 41.7
Points From 3-Pointers 38.1 22.7
Points From Free Throws 11.4 8.3
Shooting CREI NEB
Field Goals Made 28.1 28.4
Field Goals Attempted 62.4 68.1
Field Goal % 45.1% 41.7%
2 Pointers Made 15.4 20.8
2 Pointers Attempted 27.4 46.2
2 Point Shooting % 56.2% 45.1%
3 Pointers Made 12.7 7.6
3 Pointers Attempted 34.9 21.9
3 Point Shooting % 36.4% 34.6%
Free Throws Made 11.4 8.3
Free Throws Attempted 14.1 10.9
Free Throw % 80.8% 76.0%
Ball Control CREI NEB
Rebounds 40.7 35.5
Rebounds - Defensive 31.9 26.8
Rebounds - Offensive 8.8 8.7
Turnovers 9.6 6.7
Blocked Shots 3.9 1.9
Steals 3.4 5.3
Fouls 10.0 12.3

Playing Style Advantage: Nebraska

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CREI NEB
Total Possessions 72.0
Effective Scoring Chances 71.3 74.0
% of Possessions with CREI NEB
2 Point Attempt 33.6% 56.2%
3 Point Attempt 42.8% 26.6%
Player Fouled 17.0% 13.9%
Turnover 13.3% 9.3%
Opponent Steal 7.3% 4.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken CREI NEB
Shot Blocked 2.9% 6.3%
Offensive Rebound 24.8% 21.4%