NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CREI KU
Points 77.4 71.4
Total Points   148.8
Points From 2-Pointers 28.6 50.1
Points From 3-Pointers 36.7 13.8
Points From Free Throws 12.1 7.5
Shooting CREI KU
Field Goals Made 26.5 29.7
Field Goals Attempted 59.9 67.6
Field Goal % 44.3% 43.9%
2 Pointers Made 14.3 25.1
2 Pointers Attempted 28.1 53.4
2 Point Shooting % 50.9% 46.9%
3 Pointers Made 12.2 4.6
3 Pointers Attempted 31.8 14.1
3 Point Shooting % 38.4% 32.6%
Free Throws Made 12.1 7.5
Free Throws Attempted 15.0 10.5
Free Throw % 80.8% 71.4%
Ball Control CREI KU
Rebounds 37.8 36.2
Rebounds - Defensive 30.9 27.8
Rebounds - Offensive 6.9 8.4
Turnovers 9.9 6.6
Blocked Shots 2.7 3.1
Steals 3.3 6.1
Fouls 9.9 12.5

Playing Style Advantage: Creighton

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CREI KU
Total Possessions 71.8
Effective Scoring Chances 68.8 73.6
% of Possessions with CREI KU
2 Point Attempt 35.1% 65.7%
3 Point Attempt 39.8% 17.4%
Player Fouled 17.4% 13.7%
Turnover 13.8% 9.2%
Opponent Steal 8.4% 4.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken CREI KU
Shot Blocked 4.6% 4.6%
Offensive Rebound 19.9% 21.5%