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Ohio at Buffalo
Tue Mar 5, 2024
7:00pm ET
Buffalo, NY
Ohio at Buffalo: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Ohio by 11.5, Total Points: 151.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | OHIO | adv | BUFF |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 17-15-0 | 12-18-0 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 14-6-0 | 7-11-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | L2 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 7-3-0 | 6-4-0 | |
| Home | 9-5-0 | 3-11-0 | |
| Away | 8-10-0 | 9-7-0 |
Ohio Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08 | Home | Troy | -8.5 | W by 18 | +9.5 |
| 11/11 | Away | Cleveland St | -1.5 | L by 4 | -5.5 |
| 11/18 | Home | Detroit | -17.0 | W by 19 | +2.0 |
| 11/24 | Neutral | Geo Wshgtn | -5.0 | L by 5 | -10.0 |
| 11/25 | Neutral | Middle Tenn | -4.0 | W by 12 | +8.0 |
| 11/26 | Neutral | Brown | -5.5 | W by 5 | -0.5 |
| 12/02 | Home | Delaware | -8.0 | W by 1 | -7.0 |
| 12/06 | Home | Youngs St | -8.5 | L by 6 | -14.5 |
| 12/09 | Home | Marshall | -8.0 | L by 5 | -13.0 |
| 12/18 | Home | Defiance | -- | W by 80 | -- |
| 12/22 | Away | Austin Peay | -4.5 | L by 4 | -8.5 |
| 12/30 | Neutral | Davidson | -1.0 | L by 3 | -4.0 |
| 01/02 | Home | Toledo | -2.0 | L by 9 | -11.0 |
| 01/06 | Home | N Illinois | -5.0 | W by 12 | +7.0 |
| 01/09 | Away | Bowling Grn | -1.0 | L by 5 | -6.0 |
| 01/13 | Away | W Michigan | -4.0 | L by 2 | -6.0 |
| 01/16 | Home | Central Mich | -10.5 | W by 12 | +1.5 |
| 01/20 | Home | E Michigan | -12.5 | W by 18 | +5.5 |
| 01/23 | Away | Akron | +8.0 | L by 9 | -1.0 |
| 01/26 | Away | Kent St | +2.5 | W by 7 | +9.5 |
| 01/30 | Home | Buffalo | -13.5 | W by 21 | +7.5 |
| 02/03 | Home | Miami (OH) | -7.5 | W by 9 | +1.5 |
| 02/06 | Away | Ball St | -2.0 | W by 5 | +3.0 |
| 02/10 | Away | Arkansas St | +2.5 | L by 13 | -10.5 |
| 02/16 | Away | Toledo | +5.5 | L by 2 | +3.5 |
| 02/20 | Home | Kent St | -4.0 | W by 6 | +2.0 |
| 02/24 | Away | N Illinois | -7.5 | W by 21 | +13.5 |
| 02/27 | Home | Akron | -1.5 | W by 7 | +5.5 |
| 03/01 | Home | Bowling Grn | -8.5 | W by 7 | -1.5 |
| 03/05 | Away | Buffalo | -11.5 | W by 12 | +0.5 |
| 03/08 | Away | Miami (OH) | -3.5 | W by 13 | +9.5 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | W Michigan | -9.0 | W by 27 | +18.0 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | Akron | +2.5 | L by 3 | -0.5 |
Buffalo Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | F Dickinson | -6.0 | L by 6 | -12.0 |
| 11/11 | Home | S Alabama | +1.0 | L by 14 | -13.0 |
| 11/15 | Home | Roberts Wesleyan | -- | W by 6 | -- |
| 11/20 | Neutral | Hofstra | +9.5 | L by 34 | -24.5 |
| 11/21 | Neutral | Louisiana | +9.5 | L by 8 | +1.5 |
| 11/22 | Neutral | Iona | +6.5 | L by 25 | -18.5 |
| 11/29 | Away | James Mad | +23.5 | L by 15 | +8.5 |
| 12/02 | Home | St Bonavent | +9.5 | L by 15 | -5.5 |
| 12/05 | Away | Butler | +24.5 | L by 13 | +11.5 |
| 12/09 | Home | W Kentucky | +7.0 | L by 17 | -10.0 |
| 12/21 | Away | Richmond | +15.5 | L by 6 | +9.5 |
| 12/29 | Home | Niagara | -3.5 | L by 6 | -9.5 |
| 01/02 | Away | Central Mich | +2.0 | W by 12 | +14.0 |
| 01/06 | Home | W Michigan | -3.0 | L by 5 | -8.0 |
| 01/09 | Home | Miami (OH) | -2.0 | L by 21 | -23.0 |
| 01/12 | Away | Akron | +16.0 | L by 17 | -1.0 |
| 01/16 | Away | Toledo | +15.0 | L by 11 | +4.0 |
| 01/23 | Home | Ball St | +1.5 | L by 28 | -26.5 |
| 01/27 | Away | E Michigan | +3.5 | L by 10 | -6.5 |
| 01/30 | Away | Ohio | +13.5 | L by 21 | -7.5 |
| 02/02 | Home | Kent St | +8.0 | L by 31 | -23.0 |
| 02/06 | Away | Bowling Grn | +12.5 | L by 14 | -1.5 |
| 02/10 | Away | GA Southern | +9.0 | W by 1 | +10.0 |
| 02/13 | Away | N Illinois | +9.0 | L by 4 | +5.0 |
| 02/17 | Home | Akron | +13.5 | L by 11 | +2.5 |
| 02/20 | Home | E Michigan | -3.5 | W by 9 | +5.5 |
| 02/24 | Away | W Michigan | +6.0 | L by 19 | -13.0 |
| 02/27 | Away | Kent St | +14.5 | L by 12 | +2.5 |
| 03/02 | Home | Toledo | +10.5 | L by 6 | +4.5 |
| 03/05 | Home | Ohio | +11.5 | L by 12 | -0.5 |
| 03/08 | Home | N Illinois | +1.5 | L by 10 | -8.5 |
| OHIO -11.5 | Open | -9.5 | High | -11.5 |
| Last | -10.5 | Low | -9.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2018-2019 NCAA Basketball season there have been 450 games where the closing line favored the away team by 10.5 to 12.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Ohio won the game 396 times (88.0%).
- The team like Buffalo won the game 54 times (12.0%).
- The team like Buffalo did better against the spread, going 222-222-6 (50.0% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.3 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2020-2021 NCAA Basketball season there have been 1207 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 2 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Buffalo did better against the spread, going 593-587-27 (50.3% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.2 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -11.5 | -11.5 | -- |
| Open | -10.0 | -10.5 | -- |
| History | |||
| 03/05 05:54 PM | -11.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/05 05:12 PM | -11.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/05 04:11 PM | -11.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/05 02:26 PM | -11.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/05 12:50 PM | -11.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/05 12:48 PM | -- | -11.5 | -- |
| 03/05 08:34 AM | -10.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/05 01:22 AM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/04 10:43 PM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/04 06:50 PM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/04 06:22 PM | -- | -10.5 | -- |
| 03/04 03:35 PM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
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