NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SBON BUFF
Points 81.6 61.6
Total Points   143.1
Points From 2-Pointers 42.4 30.8
Points From 3-Pointers 24.7 20.0
Points From Free Throws 14.5 10.8
Shooting SBON BUFF
Field Goals Made 29.4 22.1
Field Goals Attempted 61.2 55.5
Field Goal % 48.1% 39.7%
2 Pointers Made 21.2 15.4
2 Pointers Attempted 39.9 31.8
2 Point Shooting % 53.1% 48.5%
3 Pointers Made 8.2 6.7
3 Pointers Attempted 21.3 23.8
3 Point Shooting % 38.6% 28.0%
Free Throws Made 14.5 10.8
Free Throws Attempted 18.7 15.1
Free Throw % 77.3% 71.6%
Ball Control SBON BUFF
Rebounds 38.6 30.8
Rebounds - Defensive 27.4 22.7
Rebounds - Offensive 11.2 8.1
Turnovers 8.6 13.3
Blocked Shots 3.9 3.3
Steals 7.1 4.2
Fouls 12.6 12.9

Playing Style Advantage: St Bonavent

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SBON BUFF
Total Possessions 70.0
Effective Scoring Chances 72.6 64.8
% of Possessions with SBON BUFF
2 Point Attempt 48.3% 39.9%
3 Point Attempt 25.8% 29.9%
Player Fouled 18.4% 18.0%
Turnover 12.3% 19.0%
Opponent Steal 5.9% 10.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken SBON BUFF
Shot Blocked 6.0% 6.4%
Offensive Rebound 33.1% 22.8%