NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SBON LAS
Points 75.9 68.0
Total Points   144.0
Points From 2-Pointers 39.3 32.5
Points From 3-Pointers 21.1 24.9
Points From Free Throws 15.5 10.7
Shooting SBON LAS
Field Goals Made 26.7 24.5
Field Goals Attempted 57.9 58.7
Field Goal % 46.1% 41.8%
2 Pointers Made 19.6 16.2
2 Pointers Attempted 39.7 34.8
2 Point Shooting % 49.5% 46.7%
3 Pointers Made 7.0 8.3
3 Pointers Attempted 18.2 23.9
3 Point Shooting % 38.8% 34.7%
Free Throws Made 15.5 10.7
Free Throws Attempted 20.1 14.9
Free Throw % 77.3% 71.6%
Ball Control SBON LAS
Rebounds 37.8 31.9
Rebounds - Defensive 27.7 23.6
Rebounds - Offensive 10.1 8.4
Turnovers 8.4 9.6
Blocked Shots 4.2 2.5
Steals 4.9 4.3
Fouls 13.4 14.0

Playing Style Advantage: La Salle

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SBON LAS
Total Possessions 68.5
Effective Scoring Chances 70.2 67.3
% of Possessions with SBON LAS
2 Point Attempt 49.9% 44.3%
3 Point Attempt 22.8% 30.5%
Player Fouled 20.5% 19.5%
Turnover 12.3% 14.0%
Opponent Steal 6.2% 7.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken SBON LAS
Shot Blocked 4.4% 7.3%
Offensive Rebound 30.0% 23.2%