NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring BEL MTU
Points 77.5 65.3
Total Points   142.8
Points From 2-Pointers 40.4 30.2
Points From 3-Pointers 24.0 22.2
Points From Free Throws 13.2 13.0
Shooting BEL MTU
Field Goals Made 28.2 22.5
Field Goals Attempted 59.2 58.8
Field Goal % 47.6% 38.2%
2 Pointers Made 20.2 15.1
2 Pointers Attempted 38.0 33.9
2 Point Shooting % 53.2% 44.6%
3 Pointers Made 8.0 7.4
3 Pointers Attempted 21.3 25.0
3 Point Shooting % 37.5% 29.6%
Free Throws Made 13.2 13.0
Free Throws Attempted 18.0 18.1
Free Throw % 73.1% 71.4%
Ball Control BEL MTU
Rebounds 35.8 36.8
Rebounds - Defensive 28.6 26.3
Rebounds - Offensive 7.3 10.5
Turnovers 9.6 12.2
Blocked Shots 3.1 3.5
Steals 6.2 4.7
Fouls 14.0 14.1

Playing Style Advantage: Belmont

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BEL MTU
Total Possessions 72.1
Effective Scoring Chances 69.7 70.4
% of Possessions with BEL MTU
2 Point Attempt 47.0% 40.4%
3 Point Attempt 26.3% 29.8%
Player Fouled 19.5% 19.4%
Turnover 13.4% 17.0%
Opponent Steal 6.6% 8.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken BEL MTU
Shot Blocked 6.0% 5.4%
Offensive Rebound 21.7% 26.9%