NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UCLA WSU
Points 59.6 66.5
Total Points   126.1
Points From 2-Pointers 32.1 33.2
Points From 3-Pointers 13.0 19.2
Points From Free Throws 14.6 14.0
Shooting UCLA WSU
Field Goals Made 20.4 23.0
Field Goals Attempted 53.5 53.5
Field Goal % 38.1% 43.1%
2 Pointers Made 16.0 16.6
2 Pointers Attempted 39.7 34.6
2 Point Shooting % 40.4% 48.0%
3 Pointers Made 4.3 6.4
3 Pointers Attempted 13.7 18.8
3 Point Shooting % 31.5% 34.0%
Free Throws Made 14.6 14.0
Free Throws Attempted 19.6 19.7
Free Throw % 74.3% 71.0%
Ball Control UCLA WSU
Rebounds 31.3 38.0
Rebounds - Defensive 23.1 27.5
Rebounds - Offensive 8.2 10.5
Turnovers 8.6 10.2
Blocked Shots 2.6 3.0
Steals 4.7 3.8
Fouls 16.8 16.0

Playing Style Advantage: UCLA

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UCLA WSU
Total Possessions 65.6
Effective Scoring Chances 65.2 65.9
% of Possessions with UCLA WSU
2 Point Attempt 53.0% 44.9%
3 Point Attempt 18.3% 24.4%
Player Fouled 24.4% 25.6%
Turnover 13.1% 15.5%
Opponent Steal 5.8% 7.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken UCLA WSU
Shot Blocked 5.7% 5.0%
Offensive Rebound 22.9% 31.2%