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UCLA at Villanova
Sat Dec 9, 2023
7:00pm ET
Philadelphia, PA
UCLA at Villanova: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Villanova by 4, Total Points: 127.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | UCLA | adv | VILL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 15-16-2 | 17-17-0 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 12-9-1 | 11-11-0 | |
| Streak | W3 | L5 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 0-5-0 | |
| Last 10 | 4-5-1 | 4-6-0 | |
| Home | 5-11-0 | 9-7-0 | |
| Away | 10-5-2 | 8-10-0 |
UCLA Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | St Fran (PA) | -29.5 | W by 31 | +1.5 |
| 11/10 | Home | Lafayette | -25.0 | W by 18 | -7.0 |
| 11/15 | Home | LIU | -35.0 | W by 20 | -15.0 |
| 11/20 | Neutral | Marquette | +6.5 | L by 2 | +4.5 |
| 11/21 | Neutral | Chaminade | -28.0 | W by 28 | 0.0 |
| 11/22 | Neutral | Gonzaga | +4.5 | L by 4 | +0.5 |
| 11/30 | Home | UC Riverside | -18.5 | W by 1 | -17.5 |
| 12/09 | Away | Villanova | +4.0 | L by 9 | -5.0 |
| 12/16 | Neutral | Ohio St | +2.0 | L by 7 | -5.0 |
| 12/19 | Home | Cal St Nrdge | -17.5 | L by 4 | -21.5 |
| 12/22 | Home | Maryland | -4.0 | L by 9 | -13.0 |
| 12/28 | Away | Oregon St | -6.5 | W by 7 | +0.5 |
| 12/30 | Away | Oregon | +7.0 | L by 5 | +2.0 |
| 01/03 | Home | Stanford | -4.5 | L by 6 | -10.5 |
| 01/06 | Home | California | -6.5 | L by 9 | -15.5 |
| 01/11 | Away | Utah | +8.5 | L by 46 | -37.5 |
| 01/14 | Home | Washington | +1.0 | W by 12 | +13.0 |
| 01/17 | Away | Arizona St | +3.5 | W by 2 | +5.5 |
| 01/20 | Away | Arizona | +17.5 | L by 6 | +11.5 |
| 01/27 | Away | USC | +4.5 | W by 15 | +19.5 |
| 02/01 | Home | Oregon St | -10.0 | W by 8 | -2.0 |
| 02/03 | Home | Oregon | +2.0 | W by 8 | +10.0 |
| 02/07 | Away | Stanford | +3.5 | W by 8 | +11.5 |
| 02/10 | Away | California | -1.0 | W by 1 | 0.0 |
| 02/15 | Home | Colorado | +1.5 | W by 4 | +5.5 |
| 02/18 | Home | Utah | -5.0 | L by 1 | -6.0 |
| 02/24 | Home | USC | -4.5 | L by 6 | -10.5 |
| 02/29 | Away | Washington | +3.5 | L by 17 | -13.5 |
| 03/02 | Away | Wash State | +7.0 | L by 12 | -5.0 |
| 03/07 | Home | Arizona | +9.0 | L by 23 | -14.0 |
| 03/09 | Home | Arizona St | -6.5 | W by 12 | +5.5 |
| 03/13 | Neutral | Oregon St | -6.0 | W by 10 | +4.0 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Oregon | +4.5 | L by 2 | +2.5 |
Villanova Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | American | -23.0 | W by 27 | +4.0 |
| 11/10 | Home | Le Moyne | -37.5 | W by 26 | -11.5 |
| 11/13 | Away | U Penn | -12.0 | L by 4 | -16.0 |
| 11/17 | Home | Maryland | -6.5 | W by 17 | +10.5 |
| 11/22 | Neutral | Texas Tech | -3.5 | W by 16 | +12.5 |
| 11/23 | Neutral | N Carolina | +2.5 | W by 2 | +4.5 |
| 11/24 | Neutral | Memphis | -3.5 | W by 16 | +12.5 |
| 11/29 | Home | St Josephs | -12.5 | L by 13 | -25.5 |
| 12/02 | Neutral | Drexel | -11.0 | L by 2 | -13.0 |
| 12/05 | Away | Kansas St | -2.5 | L by 1 | -3.5 |
| 12/09 | Home | UCLA | -4.0 | W by 9 | +5.0 |
| 12/20 | Away | Creighton | +9.5 | W by 2 | +11.5 |
| 12/23 | Away | DePaul | -10.5 | W by 36 | +25.5 |
| 01/03 | Home | Xavier | -8.0 | W by 1 | -7.0 |
| 01/06 | Home | St Johns | -3.5 | L by 10 | -13.5 |
| 01/12 | Home | DePaul | -19.0 | W by 25 | +6.0 |
| 01/15 | Away | Marquette | +6.5 | L by 13 | -6.5 |
| 01/20 | Home | Connecticut | +4.0 | L by 1 | +3.0 |
| 01/24 | Away | St Johns | +3.5 | L by 20 | -16.5 |
| 01/27 | Away | Butler | +1.5 | L by 7 | -5.5 |
| 01/30 | Home | Marquette | -2.5 | L by 5 | -7.5 |
| 02/04 | Home | Providence | -4.5 | W by 18 | +13.5 |
| 02/07 | Away | Xavier | +3.5 | L by 3 | +0.5 |
| 02/11 | Home | Seton Hall | -7.0 | W by 26 | +19.0 |
| 02/16 | Away | Georgetown | -10.5 | W by 16 | +5.5 |
| 02/20 | Home | Butler | -6.5 | W by 10 | +3.5 |
| 02/24 | Away | Connecticut | +11.5 | L by 24 | -12.5 |
| 02/27 | Home | Georgetown | -15.5 | W by 28 | +12.5 |
| 03/02 | Away | Providence | +2.5 | W by 11 | +13.5 |
| 03/06 | Away | Seton Hall | +1.0 | L by 10 | -9.0 |
| 03/09 | Home | Creighton | +1.5 | L by 2 | -0.5 |
| 03/13 | Neutral | DePaul | -24.5 | W by 1 | -23.5 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Marquette | +4.0 | L by 6 | -2.0 |
| 03/20 | Home | VCU | -8.5 | L by 9 | -17.5 |
| VILL -4.0 | Open | -5.0 | High | -5.0 |
| Last | -3.5 | Low | -3.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2018-2019 NCAA Basketball season there have been 3568 games where the closing line favored the home team by 3 to 5 points. In these games:
- The team like Villanova won the game 2261 times (63.4%).
- The team like UCLA won the game 1307 times (36.6%).
- The team like Villanova did better against the spread, going 1750-1736-82 (50.2% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.3 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2020-2021 NCAA Basketball season there have been 3118 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 1 points less than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Villanova did better against the spread, going 1546-1514-58 (50.5% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.4 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -3.5 | -3.5 | -- |
| Open | -3.0 | -3.5 | -- |
| History | |||
| 12/09 07:00 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/09 06:20 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/09 05:44 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/09 04:14 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/09 03:53 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/09 02:26 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/09 01:08 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 12/09 11:56 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/09 10:51 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/09 08:32 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/09 02:23 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/08 11:17 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 12/08 08:32 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/08 08:17 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/08 06:14 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
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