NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SCST MORG
Points 76.2 70.2
Total Points   146.4
Points From 2-Pointers 38.6 41.5
Points From 3-Pointers 18.8 10.5
Points From Free Throws 18.8 18.2
Shooting SCST MORG
Field Goals Made 25.6 24.3
Field Goals Attempted 60.9 53.1
Field Goal % 42.0% 45.7%
2 Pointers Made 19.3 20.7
2 Pointers Attempted 42.6 39.4
2 Point Shooting % 45.3% 52.6%
3 Pointers Made 6.3 3.5
3 Pointers Attempted 18.3 13.6
3 Point Shooting % 34.3% 25.8%
Free Throws Made 18.8 18.2
Free Throws Attempted 26.9 24.2
Free Throw % 70.0% 75.2%
Ball Control SCST MORG
Rebounds 40.0 31.8
Rebounds - Defensive 22.8 22.7
Rebounds - Offensive 17.2 9.2
Turnovers 12.6 15.3
Blocked Shots 4.3 3.3
Steals 8.5 5.9
Fouls 17.0 17.1

Playing Style Advantage: Morgan St

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SCST MORG
Total Possessions 74.1
Effective Scoring Chances 78.7 68.0
% of Possessions with SCST MORG
2 Point Attempt 45.9% 46.4%
3 Point Attempt 19.8% 16.0%
Player Fouled 23.1% 22.9%
Turnover 17.0% 20.6%
Opponent Steal 7.9% 11.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken SCST MORG
Shot Blocked 6.3% 7.2%
Offensive Rebound 43.2% 28.6%