NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SCST CHSO
Points 67.0 65.6
Total Points   132.7
Points From 2-Pointers 38.4 30.2
Points From 3-Pointers 14.4 19.9
Points From Free Throws 14.3 15.6
Shooting SCST CHSO
Field Goals Made 24.0 21.7
Field Goals Attempted 62.5 52.3
Field Goal % 38.4% 41.5%
2 Pointers Made 19.2 15.1
2 Pointers Attempted 45.3 31.5
2 Point Shooting % 42.4% 47.9%
3 Pointers Made 4.8 6.6
3 Pointers Attempted 17.2 20.8
3 Point Shooting % 27.9% 31.8%
Free Throws Made 14.3 15.6
Free Throws Attempted 20.4 22.4
Free Throw % 70.0% 69.7%
Ball Control SCST CHSO
Rebounds 39.3 36.9
Rebounds - Defensive 24.9 27.4
Rebounds - Offensive 14.5 9.5
Turnovers 9.4 13.6
Blocked Shots 3.2 2.9
Steals 7.1 3.8
Fouls 16.7 14.6

Playing Style Advantage: S Car State

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SCST CHSO
Total Possessions 70.5
Effective Scoring Chances 75.6 66.5
% of Possessions with SCST CHSO
2 Point Attempt 52.6% 38.8%
3 Point Attempt 20.0% 25.6%
Player Fouled 20.7% 23.7%
Turnover 13.3% 19.2%
Opponent Steal 5.4% 10.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken SCST CHSO
Shot Blocked 5.7% 5.1%
Offensive Rebound 34.5% 27.7%