NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SCST COPP
Points 70.2 57.8
Total Points   128.0
Points From 2-Pointers 33.5 27.2
Points From 3-Pointers 20.0 15.5
Points From Free Throws 16.6 15.1
Shooting SCST COPP
Field Goals Made 23.4 18.8
Field Goals Attempted 56.8 49.6
Field Goal % 41.2% 37.9%
2 Pointers Made 16.8 13.6
2 Pointers Attempted 36.9 31.7
2 Point Shooting % 45.4% 42.9%
3 Pointers Made 6.7 5.2
3 Pointers Attempted 19.9 17.9
3 Point Shooting % 33.5% 29.0%
Free Throws Made 16.6 15.1
Free Throws Attempted 23.8 20.8
Free Throw % 70.0% 72.6%
Ball Control SCST COPP
Rebounds 42.8 28.5
Rebounds - Defensive 25.2 20.0
Rebounds - Offensive 17.6 8.6
Turnovers 14.7 16.7
Blocked Shots 4.0 2.5
Steals 9.9 7.3
Fouls 16.4 15.5

Playing Style Advantage: S Car State

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SCST COPP
Total Possessions 70.9
Effective Scoring Chances 73.8 62.7
% of Possessions with SCST COPP
2 Point Attempt 41.3% 39.1%
3 Point Attempt 22.2% 22.0%
Player Fouled 21.8% 23.2%
Turnover 20.7% 23.6%
Opponent Steal 10.3% 13.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken SCST COPP
Shot Blocked 5.2% 7.2%
Offensive Rebound 46.8% 25.4%