NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SCST TLSA
Points 66.5 73.4
Total Points   139.9
Points From 2-Pointers 32.1 31.2
Points From 3-Pointers 18.9 18.9
Points From Free Throws 15.6 23.2
Shooting SCST TLSA
Field Goals Made 22.3 21.9
Field Goals Attempted 59.7 46.7
Field Goal % 37.4% 47.0%
2 Pointers Made 16.1 15.6
2 Pointers Attempted 39.7 26.3
2 Point Shooting % 40.4% 59.4%
3 Pointers Made 6.3 6.3
3 Pointers Attempted 20.0 20.4
3 Point Shooting % 31.5% 30.9%
Free Throws Made 15.6 23.2
Free Throws Attempted 22.3 31.6
Free Throw % 70.0% 73.6%
Ball Control SCST TLSA
Rebounds 37.0 33.9
Rebounds - Defensive 22.6 26.7
Rebounds - Offensive 14.4 7.1
Turnovers 13.4 14.6
Blocked Shots 2.3 2.9
Steals 7.7 7.6
Fouls 21.1 15.4

Playing Style Advantage: S Car State

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SCST TLSA
Total Possessions 73.6
Effective Scoring Chances 74.6 66.2
% of Possessions with SCST TLSA
2 Point Attempt 44.6% 32.2%
3 Point Attempt 22.4% 25.0%
Player Fouled 21.0% 28.6%
Turnover 18.2% 19.8%
Opponent Steal 10.3% 10.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken SCST TLSA
Shot Blocked 6.3% 3.9%
Offensive Rebound 35.0% 24.0%