NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MSST TULN
Points 83.6 72.1
Total Points   155.7
Points From 2-Pointers 41.0 36.4
Points From 3-Pointers 27.4 19.1
Points From Free Throws 15.2 16.6
Shooting MSST TULN
Field Goals Made 29.6 24.6
Field Goals Attempted 62.2 54.8
Field Goal % 47.6% 44.8%
2 Pointers Made 20.5 18.2
2 Pointers Attempted 36.2 33.6
2 Point Shooting % 56.6% 54.2%
3 Pointers Made 9.1 6.4
3 Pointers Attempted 26.0 21.2
3 Point Shooting % 35.1% 30.0%
Free Throws Made 15.2 16.6
Free Throws Attempted 23.3 23.2
Free Throw % 65.5% 71.6%
Ball Control MSST TULN
Rebounds 42.3 28.7
Rebounds - Defensive 28.4 23.3
Rebounds - Offensive 13.9 5.3
Turnovers 11.2 11.6
Blocked Shots 3.9 3.1
Steals 7.5 6.6
Fouls 16.9 15.6

Playing Style Advantage: Tulane

Expected Effect: +0.6 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MSST TULN
Total Possessions 74.4
Effective Scoring Chances 77.1 68.1
% of Possessions with MSST TULN
2 Point Attempt 40.5% 41.3%
3 Point Attempt 29.1% 26.1%
Player Fouled 21.0% 22.7%
Turnover 15.0% 15.6%
Opponent Steal 8.9% 10.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken MSST TULN
Shot Blocked 5.7% 6.3%
Offensive Rebound 37.3% 15.8%