NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LT SFA
Points 72.1 63.7
Total Points   135.8
Points From 2-Pointers 31.3 28.1
Points From 3-Pointers 20.6 18.6
Points From Free Throws 20.2 17.0
Shooting LT SFA
Field Goals Made 22.5 20.2
Field Goals Attempted 50.0 54.1
Field Goal % 45.1% 37.4%
2 Pointers Made 15.6 14.0
2 Pointers Attempted 32.9 35.8
2 Point Shooting % 47.6% 39.3%
3 Pointers Made 6.9 6.2
3 Pointers Attempted 17.1 18.4
3 Point Shooting % 40.2% 33.8%
Free Throws Made 20.2 17.0
Free Throws Attempted 28.7 24.2
Free Throw % 70.3% 70.3%
Ball Control LT SFA
Rebounds 38.3 31.7
Rebounds - Defensive 27.2 21.4
Rebounds - Offensive 11.1 10.3
Turnovers 14.6 13.4
Blocked Shots 5.1 2.7
Steals 7.2 7.8
Fouls 17.1 19.3

Playing Style Advantage: Ste F Austin

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LT SFA
Total Possessions 71.9
Effective Scoring Chances 68.4 68.8
% of Possessions with LT SFA
2 Point Attempt 39.1% 42.4%
3 Point Attempt 20.3% 21.8%
Player Fouled 26.8% 23.8%
Turnover 20.3% 18.7%
Opponent Steal 10.9% 10.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken LT SFA
Shot Blocked 5.2% 10.2%
Offensive Rebound 34.3% 27.5%