NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring BRY STON
Points 74.1 72.3
Total Points   146.5
Points From 2-Pointers 33.5 34.3
Points From 3-Pointers 28.7 22.3
Points From Free Throws 11.9 15.7
Shooting BRY STON
Field Goals Made 26.3 24.6
Field Goals Attempted 63.0 64.1
Field Goal % 41.8% 38.4%
2 Pointers Made 16.7 17.2
2 Pointers Attempted 35.2 41.9
2 Point Shooting % 47.5% 40.9%
3 Pointers Made 9.6 7.4
3 Pointers Attempted 27.7 22.2
3 Point Shooting % 34.5% 33.5%
Free Throws Made 11.9 15.7
Free Throws Attempted 17.7 21.5
Free Throw % 67.6% 72.8%
Ball Control BRY STON
Rebounds 39.6 42.7
Rebounds - Defensive 31.9 32.1
Rebounds - Offensive 7.7 10.6
Turnovers 9.9 9.5
Blocked Shots 4.1 2.7
Steals 5.6 6.2
Fouls 14.1 14.4

Playing Style Advantage: Stony Brook

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BRY STON
Total Possessions 75.8
Effective Scoring Chances 73.6 76.8
% of Possessions with BRY STON
2 Point Attempt 41.7% 47.7%
3 Point Attempt 32.8% 25.2%
Player Fouled 19.0% 18.6%
Turnover 13.1% 12.5%
Opponent Steal 8.2% 7.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken BRY STON
Shot Blocked 4.3% 6.6%
Offensive Rebound 19.3% 24.8%