NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring AAMU NORF
Points 62.3 71.5
Total Points   133.8
Points From 2-Pointers 28.7 33.0
Points From 3-Pointers 13.1 17.4
Points From Free Throws 20.4 21.1
Shooting AAMU NORF
Field Goals Made 18.8 22.3
Field Goals Attempted 46.9 53.3
Field Goal % 40.0% 41.8%
2 Pointers Made 14.4 16.5
2 Pointers Attempted 32.5 36.3
2 Point Shooting % 44.3% 45.5%
3 Pointers Made 4.4 5.8
3 Pointers Attempted 14.4 17.1
3 Point Shooting % 30.4% 34.0%
Free Throws Made 20.4 21.1
Free Throws Attempted 28.3 29.4
Free Throw % 72.3% 71.8%
Ball Control AAMU NORF
Rebounds 34.1 34.4
Rebounds - Defensive 24.1 22.6
Rebounds - Offensive 10.0 11.7
Turnovers 16.3 11.5
Blocked Shots 3.4 3.0
Steals 5.7 9.8
Fouls 19.2 18.5

Playing Style Advantage: Norfolk St

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats AAMU NORF
Total Possessions 71.4
Effective Scoring Chances 65.1 71.6
% of Possessions with AAMU NORF
2 Point Attempt 39.3% 42.9%
3 Point Attempt 17.4% 20.2%
Player Fouled 25.9% 26.9%
Turnover 22.9% 16.2%
Opponent Steal 13.8% 7.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken AAMU NORF
Shot Blocked 5.7% 7.3%
Offensive Rebound 30.7% 32.8%