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Miss State at Auburn
Sat Mar 2, 2024
4:00pm ET
Auburn, AL
Miss State at Auburn: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Auburn by 10.5, Total Points: 146
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | MSST | adv | AUB |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 17-17-1 | 21-14-0 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 9-11-1 | 14-7-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5-0 | 5-5-0 | |
| Home | 6-8-1 | 10-6-0 | |
| Away | 11-9-0 | 11-8-0 |
Miss State Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08 | Neutral | Arizona St | -4.0 | W by 15 | +11.0 |
| 11/11 | Home | TN Martin | -21.5 | W by 24 | +2.5 |
| 11/14 | Home | N Alabama | -18.0 | W by 27 | +9.0 |
| 11/18 | Neutral | Wash State | -7.5 | W by 12 | +4.5 |
| 11/19 | Neutral | Northwestern | -3.5 | W by 9 | +5.5 |
| 11/24 | Home | Nicholls | -23.0 | W by 13 | -10.0 |
| 11/28 | Away | GA Tech | -8.5 | L by 8 | -16.5 |
| 12/03 | Home | Southern | -26.0 | L by 1 | -27.0 |
| 12/09 | Neutral | Tulane | -6.5 | W by 30 | +23.5 |
| 12/13 | Home | Murray St | -16.0 | W by 4 | -12.0 |
| 12/17 | Neutral | North Texas | -6.5 | W by 18 | +11.5 |
| 12/23 | Neutral | Rutgers | -3.0 | W by 10 | +7.0 |
| 12/31 | Home | Beth-Cook | -30.5 | W by 23 | -7.5 |
| 01/06 | Away | S Carolina | -3.0 | L by 6 | -9.0 |
| 01/10 | Home | Tennessee | +2.0 | W by 5 | +7.0 |
| 01/13 | Home | Alabama | -1.0 | L by 8 | -9.0 |
| 01/17 | Away | Kentucky | +6.5 | L by 13 | -6.5 |
| 01/20 | Home | Vanderbilt | -13.0 | W by 13 | 0.0 |
| 01/24 | Away | Florida | +4.5 | L by 9 | -4.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | Auburn | +3.0 | W by 6 | +9.0 |
| 01/30 | Away | Mississippi | +1.0 | L by 4 | -3.0 |
| 02/03 | Away | Alabama | +8.5 | L by 32 | -23.5 |
| 02/07 | Home | Georgia | -9.0 | W by 13 | +4.0 |
| 02/10 | Away | Missouri | -7.5 | W by 24 | +16.5 |
| 02/17 | Home | Arkansas | -11.0 | W by 4 | -7.0 |
| 02/21 | Home | Mississippi | -6.5 | W by 12 | +5.5 |
| 02/24 | Away | LSU | -3.5 | W by 20 | +16.5 |
| 02/27 | Home | Kentucky | -4.5 | L by 2 | -6.5 |
| 03/02 | Away | Auburn | +10.5 | L by 15 | -4.5 |
| 03/06 | Away | Texas A&M | +3.0 | L by 6 | -3.0 |
| 03/09 | Home | S Carolina | -5.5 | L by 4 | -9.5 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | LSU | -5.0 | W by 10 | +5.0 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | Tennessee | +9.5 | W by 17 | +26.5 |
| 03/16 | Neutral | Auburn | +8.0 | L by 7 | +1.0 |
| 03/21 | Neutral | Michigan St | +1.5 | L by 18 | -16.5 |
Auburn Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Neutral | Baylor | -2.0 | L by 6 | -8.0 |
| 11/10 | Home | SE Louisiana | -23.5 | W by 15 | -8.5 |
| 11/16 | Neutral | Notre Dame | -14.5 | W by 24 | +9.5 |
| 11/17 | Neutral | St Bonavent | -10.0 | W by 17 | +7.0 |
| 11/21 | Home | Alab A&M | -33.5 | W by 30 | -3.5 |
| 11/29 | Home | VA Tech | -9.0 | W by 17 | +8.0 |
| 12/03 | Away | App State | -7.5 | L by 5 | -12.5 |
| 12/09 | Neutral | Indiana | -7.5 | W by 28 | +20.5 |
| 12/13 | Neutral | NC-Asheville | -19.5 | W by 25 | +5.5 |
| 12/17 | Home | USC | -8.5 | W by 16 | +7.5 |
| 12/22 | Home | Alabama St | -30.5 | W by 20 | -10.5 |
| 12/30 | Home | Chattanooga | -20.5 | W by 35 | +14.5 |
| 01/02 | Home | U Penn | -20.5 | W by 20 | -0.5 |
| 01/06 | Away | Arkansas | -2.5 | W by 32 | +29.5 |
| 01/09 | Home | Texas A&M | -6.5 | W by 11 | +4.5 |
| 01/13 | Home | LSU | -13.5 | W by 15 | +1.5 |
| 01/17 | Away | Vanderbilt | -11.0 | W by 15 | +4.0 |
| 01/20 | Home | Mississippi | -12.5 | W by 23 | +10.5 |
| 01/24 | Away | Alabama | +3.5 | L by 4 | -0.5 |
| 01/27 | Away | Miss State | -3.0 | L by 6 | -9.0 |
| 01/31 | Home | Vanderbilt | -18.5 | W by 27 | +8.5 |
| 02/03 | Away | Mississippi | -3.0 | W by 14 | +11.0 |
| 02/07 | Home | Alabama | -5.5 | W by 18 | +12.5 |
| 02/10 | Away | Florida | -2.0 | L by 16 | -18.0 |
| 02/14 | Home | S Carolina | -11.5 | W by 40 | +28.5 |
| 02/17 | Home | Kentucky | -8.5 | L by 11 | -19.5 |
| 02/24 | Away | Georgia | -7.0 | W by 21 | +14.0 |
| 02/28 | Away | Tennessee | +6.5 | L by 8 | -1.5 |
| 03/02 | Home | Miss State | -10.5 | W by 15 | +4.5 |
| 03/05 | Away | Missouri | -11.5 | W by 27 | +15.5 |
| 03/09 | Home | Georgia | -15.5 | W by 14 | -1.5 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | S Carolina | -7.5 | W by 31 | +23.5 |
| 03/16 | Neutral | Miss State | -8.0 | W by 7 | -1.0 |
| 03/17 | Neutral | Florida | -5.5 | W by 19 | +13.5 |
| 03/22 | Neutral | Yale | -13.5 | L by 2 | -15.5 |
| AUB -10.5 | Open | -9.5 | High | -10.5 |
| Last | -9.5 | Low | -8.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2018-2019 NCAA Basketball season there have been 2219 games where the closing line favored the home team by 9.5 to 11.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Auburn won the game 1885 times (84.9%).
- The team like Mississippi State won the game 334 times (15.1%).
- The team like Auburn did better against the spread, going 1105-1088-26 (50.4% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.2 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2020-2021 NCAA Basketball season there have been 3523 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 1 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Mississippi State did better against the spread, going 1730-1728-65 (50.0% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.3 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -11.0 | -9.5 | -- |
| Open | -9.0 | -9.5 | -- |
| History | |||
| 03/02 04:02 PM | -11.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/02 02:47 PM | -11.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/02 01:41 PM | -11.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/02 12:32 PM | -11.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/02 12:05 PM | -11.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/02 11:33 AM | -11.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/02 10:23 AM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/02 08:56 AM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/02 07:14 AM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/02 06:35 AM | -9.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/02 05:07 AM | -9.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/02 01:12 AM | -- | -9.5 | -- |
| 03/02 01:02 AM | -9.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/01 10:32 PM | -9.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/01 08:46 PM | -- | -9.5 | -- |
| 03/01 07:38 PM | -9.0 | -- | -- |
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