NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring USF CHAR
Points 68.7 66.2
Total Points   134.9
Points From 2-Pointers 31.8 32.7
Points From 3-Pointers 22.4 18.1
Points From Free Throws 14.5 15.5
Shooting USF CHAR
Field Goals Made 23.4 22.4
Field Goals Attempted 55.1 52.1
Field Goal % 42.4% 42.9%
2 Pointers Made 15.9 16.3
2 Pointers Attempted 32.9 32.1
2 Point Shooting % 48.3% 50.9%
3 Pointers Made 7.5 6.0
3 Pointers Attempted 22.2 20.0
3 Point Shooting % 33.7% 30.1%
Free Throws Made 14.5 15.5
Free Throws Attempted 20.0 20.6
Free Throw % 72.6% 75.2%
Ball Control USF CHAR
Rebounds 33.6 33.7
Rebounds - Defensive 24.5 25.6
Rebounds - Offensive 9.1 8.0
Turnovers 8.3 9.8
Blocked Shots 2.7 2.6
Steals 5.8 4.4
Fouls 15.4 15.4

Playing Style Advantage: Charlotte

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats USF CHAR
Total Possessions 66.4
Effective Scoring Chances 67.2 64.6
% of Possessions with USF CHAR
2 Point Attempt 43.0% 42.5%
3 Point Attempt 28.9% 26.5%
Player Fouled 23.3% 23.2%
Turnover 12.5% 14.8%
Opponent Steal 6.6% 8.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken USF CHAR
Shot Blocked 5.0% 5.0%
Offensive Rebound 26.3% 24.7%