NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LOU DEP
Points 78.9 71.4
Total Points   150.3
Points From 2-Pointers 44.0 34.4
Points From 3-Pointers 19.7 21.2
Points From Free Throws 15.1 15.9
Shooting LOU DEP
Field Goals Made 28.6 24.2
Field Goals Attempted 57.7 51.1
Field Goal % 49.6% 47.4%
2 Pointers Made 22.0 17.2
2 Pointers Attempted 38.4 31.7
2 Point Shooting % 57.3% 54.1%
3 Pointers Made 6.6 7.1
3 Pointers Attempted 19.3 19.3
3 Point Shooting % 34.2% 36.5%
Free Throws Made 15.1 15.9
Free Throws Attempted 20.3 21.5
Free Throw % 74.2% 73.8%
Ball Control LOU DEP
Rebounds 33.1 28.9
Rebounds - Defensive 24.1 23.0
Rebounds - Offensive 9.0 5.9
Turnovers 10.0 13.0
Blocked Shots 3.0 2.8
Steals 6.6 5.8
Fouls 16.6 14.9

Playing Style Advantage: DePaul

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LOU DEP
Total Possessions 71.1
Effective Scoring Chances 70.1 64.0
% of Possessions with LOU DEP
2 Point Attempt 47.3% 40.6%
3 Point Attempt 23.7% 24.7%
Player Fouled 21.0% 23.4%
Turnover 14.1% 18.3%
Opponent Steal 8.2% 9.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken LOU DEP
Shot Blocked 5.6% 5.2%
Offensive Rebound 28.2% 19.8%