NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LAM TAMCOM
Points 76.1 66.5
Total Points   142.6
Points From 2-Pointers 42.3 26.6
Points From 3-Pointers 17.5 25.5
Points From Free Throws 16.3 14.5
Shooting LAM TAMCOM
Field Goals Made 27.0 21.8
Field Goals Attempted 60.3 58.8
Field Goal % 44.7% 37.0%
2 Pointers Made 21.1 13.3
2 Pointers Attempted 43.1 30.3
2 Point Shooting % 49.0% 43.8%
3 Pointers Made 5.8 8.5
3 Pointers Attempted 17.2 28.5
3 Point Shooting % 34.1% 29.8%
Free Throws Made 16.3 14.5
Free Throws Attempted 22.6 20.8
Free Throw % 72.1% 69.6%
Ball Control LAM TAMCOM
Rebounds 43.7 33.3
Rebounds - Defensive 30.9 23.9
Rebounds - Offensive 12.8 9.4
Turnovers 11.6 11.4
Blocked Shots 3.9 3.6
Steals 5.2 6.6
Fouls 14.3 15.9

Playing Style Advantage: Lamar

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LAM TAMCOM
Total Possessions 73.3
Effective Scoring Chances 74.5 71.4
% of Possessions with LAM TAMCOM
2 Point Attempt 49.2% 36.0%
3 Point Attempt 19.6% 33.8%
Player Fouled 21.7% 19.6%
Turnover 15.8% 15.5%
Opponent Steal 9.0% 7.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken LAM TAMCOM
Shot Blocked 6.3% 6.6%
Offensive Rebound 34.9% 23.4%