NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring WCU TNTC
Points 77.8 62.3
Total Points   140.1
Points From 2-Pointers 42.2 36.3
Points From 3-Pointers 25.8 14.9
Points From Free Throws 9.7 11.1
Shooting WCU TNTC
Field Goals Made 29.7 23.1
Field Goals Attempted 61.7 56.3
Field Goal % 48.2% 41.1%
2 Pointers Made 21.1 18.2
2 Pointers Attempted 39.2 41.0
2 Point Shooting % 53.9% 44.3%
3 Pointers Made 8.6 5.0
3 Pointers Attempted 22.5 15.2
3 Point Shooting % 38.2% 32.7%
Free Throws Made 9.7 11.1
Free Throws Attempted 13.9 15.9
Free Throw % 70.0% 69.5%
Ball Control WCU TNTC
Rebounds 40.1 29.8
Rebounds - Defensive 30.5 24.7
Rebounds - Offensive 9.6 5.1
Turnovers 8.2 8.7
Blocked Shots 2.9 2.2
Steals 4.0 3.7
Fouls 14.4 12.2

Playing Style Advantage: TN Tech

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WCU TNTC
Total Possessions 69.0
Effective Scoring Chances 70.4 65.4
% of Possessions with WCU TNTC
2 Point Attempt 49.4% 54.5%
3 Point Attempt 28.3% 20.2%
Player Fouled 17.7% 20.9%
Turnover 11.9% 12.7%
Opponent Steal 5.3% 5.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken WCU TNTC
Shot Blocked 3.9% 4.8%
Offensive Rebound 27.9% 14.4%