NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UVM UNH
Points 73.8 64.4
Total Points   138.3
Points From 2-Pointers 36.2 29.2
Points From 3-Pointers 26.2 23.6
Points From Free Throws 11.4 11.6
Shooting UVM UNH
Field Goals Made 26.8 22.5
Field Goals Attempted 58.4 59.1
Field Goal % 46.0% 38.0%
2 Pointers Made 18.1 14.6
2 Pointers Attempted 30.7 33.4
2 Point Shooting % 58.9% 43.8%
3 Pointers Made 8.7 7.9
3 Pointers Attempted 27.7 25.8
3 Point Shooting % 31.6% 30.5%
Free Throws Made 11.4 11.6
Free Throws Attempted 15.8 15.3
Free Throw % 71.9% 76.0%
Ball Control UVM UNH
Rebounds 37.8 34.3
Rebounds - Defensive 31.1 27.4
Rebounds - Offensive 6.7 7.0
Turnovers 9.1 9.8
Blocked Shots 4.9 2.0
Steals 6.4 5.4
Fouls 13.0 13.2

Playing Style Advantage: N Hampshire

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UVM UNH
Total Possessions 70.4
Effective Scoring Chances 68.0 67.5
% of Possessions with UVM UNH
2 Point Attempt 39.5% 42.1%
3 Point Attempt 35.5% 32.5%
Player Fouled 18.7% 18.5%
Turnover 12.9% 14.0%
Opponent Steal 7.6% 9.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken UVM UNH
Shot Blocked 3.5% 8.4%
Offensive Rebound 19.6% 18.3%