NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CMU CREI
Points 58.0 82.0
Total Points   140.0
Points From 2-Pointers 37.5 34.9
Points From 3-Pointers 14.4 33.5
Points From Free Throws 6.0 13.5
Shooting CMU CREI
Field Goals Made 23.6 28.6
Field Goals Attempted 67.7 61.8
Field Goal % 34.8% 46.4%
2 Pointers Made 18.8 17.5
2 Pointers Attempted 50.3 29.5
2 Point Shooting % 37.3% 59.2%
3 Pointers Made 4.8 11.2
3 Pointers Attempted 17.4 32.3
3 Point Shooting % 27.6% 34.7%
Free Throws Made 6.0 13.5
Free Throws Attempted 9.0 16.7
Free Throw % 67.1% 80.8%
Ball Control CMU CREI
Rebounds 34.1 45.7
Rebounds - Defensive 24.6 35.6
Rebounds - Offensive 9.5 10.1
Turnovers 7.2 8.4
Blocked Shots 2.9 4.3
Steals 4.5 3.3
Fouls 13.4 9.3

Playing Style Advantage: Central Mich

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CMU CREI
Total Possessions 70.2
Effective Scoring Chances 72.5 71.9
% of Possessions with CMU CREI
2 Point Attempt 61.7% 36.2%
3 Point Attempt 21.4% 39.6%
Player Fouled 13.2% 19.1%
Turnover 10.3% 11.9%
Opponent Steal 4.7% 6.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken CMU CREI
Shot Blocked 7.1% 4.3%
Offensive Rebound 21.1% 29.1%